Sometimes it pays not to ignore the obvious. There are only a handful of teams who can win the 2018 World Cup, with world champions Germany joined by Brazil, Spain and France in that category.
At a push, Argentina, Portugal and Belgium could also challenge although the former quartet are probably the ones upon which to focus and we particularly like the chances of the Germans.
Joachim Low has the blueprint from winning in Brazil four years ago and conditions should suit his players even better this time around, with the majority of the squad that were triumphant in South America still available for selection.
Die Mannschaft actually won the 2017 Confederations Cup a year ago in Russia despite fielding a largely second string team and the big boys will now be hoping to build on this success and continue to build a legacy for the German side.
There’s nothing to dislike about a squad that is likely to have Manuel Neuer back between the sticks, while Jerome Boateng and Mats Hummels can lay claim to being the best central defensive partnership in world football.
Mesut Ozil might be enigmatic for Arsenal but he’s anything but that for the national side who can also boast a midfield of Toni Kroos, Julian Draxler, Sami Khedira and Ilkay Gundogan.
Thomas Muller is incredibly only 28 despite amassing 89 caps already for the Germans, with Timo Werner the rising star and it would be a major surprise if Germany weren’t contending come the business end of the tournament.
The draw has been fairly favourable to the world champions who have drawn Mexico, Sweden and South Korea, with Germany boasting the sort of pedigree that has seen them reach half of the past twelve World Cup finals.
At odds of 9/2 with bet365, we are happy to punt them to triumph over the rest of the teams in the tournament, with question marks over most others including a Spain side who have looked less convincing at recent major tournaments.