2021 Grand National Trends
- 10/10 winners aged from 8 to 11 years
- 10/10 winners had at least 10 previous runs over fences
- 10/10 winners had previously won over 3 miles or further
- 9/10 winners were rated between 148-160
- 9/10 winners had run at Aintree at least once before (four of those won)
- 9/10 winners had at least 8 runs over 3 miles or longer
- 9/10 winners had run within the previous 56 days
- 9/10 winners had previously been at least placed in Graded company
- 8/10 winners had won at least twice over 3 miles or further
There are several big staying chases through the National Hunt season that can be considered a trial for the Grand National but only the Becher Chase provides valuable experience of the unique fences.
That said, only two Becher Chase winners have gone on to Grand National glory in the same season (Amberleigh House and Silver Birch), although 2019 Becher Chase winner Walk In The Mill was sent off joint-favourite for the National later that season before taking a heavy fall at the sixth fence.
The Welsh Grand National, along with the previous season’s Scottish National, tend to throw up horses with the necessary characteristics for the Aintree showpiece, although they can often be run on more testing ground which isn’t always replicated in April.
The Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (known to many as the Hennessy) is one of the classiest handicaps run all season and any winner of the Newbury contest that has pretentions of staying much further would have to be considered a Grand National candidate despite the going into the Aintree race off a much higher mark. The most recent winner of the Ladbrokes Trophy is Cloth Cap who heads to Aintree as a red-hot favourite.
Warwick’s Classic Chase is another race that can have a bearing on the National. 2017 winner One For Arthur went followed up at Aintree and many think that 2020 winner Kimberlite Candy can follow in One For Arthur’s footsteps.
|Brand||Daily Racing Specials||Live Streaming Racing||Ante Post Betting||Tote/Other Markets||Claim Bonus|
|Y||Y||Y||N||Claim Bonus||Qualifying stake must be on Horse Racing, Premier League, Championship or Champions League home or away selections. Minimum odds of 1.8 on qualifying bet. Bets on the draw will not qualify for a free bet. Deposit using code SNWEL25. Valid once per customer. Free bet expires after 30 days. Max winnings from free bet £1000.|
|Y||Y||Y||Y||Claim Bonus||Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+. New players only. www.begambleaware.org|
|Y||N||Y||Y||Claim Bonus||In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering.|
Nicky Henderson leads the way at this meeting with 36 winners from 225 runners BUT the six-time champion trainer is still searching for his first Grand National winner. Zongalero, his first runner in the race in 1979, finished second and remains to this day the closest he has come to landing the big prize.
Gordon Elliott has won the race three times since 2007, including the last two editions with Tiger Roll, but runners from that stable will be entered under the name of Denise Foster this time around.
Irish trainers have done particularly well in the race since the turn of the century, winning the race ten times, including three of the last four. Willie Mullins, Mouse Morris, Ted Walsh and Martin Brassil have all contributed with a victory each.
Paul Nicholls, Nigel Twiston-Davies and David Pipe have all struck with a winner in recent years, as has Jonjo O’Neill, who is responsible for 2021 favourite Cloth Cap, whose famous colours have already been carried to victory three times in this famous race.
Davy Russell is the only jockey still riding to have won the race more than once, although his prospects of a third success aboard Tiger Roll have been dashed.
Tom Scudamore is yet to win the race but he will never have a better chance than the one he has aboard Cloth Cap in 2021.
Robbie Power (2007) and Daryl Jacob (2012) have both tasted Grand National glory and are again likely to have rides with strong chances.
No female jockey has won the Grand National but the likes of Rachael Blackmore, Bryony Frost and Tabitha Worsley will all be hoping that they can etch their name into racing history.
|Brand||Total Cash Out Sports||Acca Insurance - Y/N||Bet Builder - Y/N||Total Inplay Sports||Claim Bonus|
|25||Y||Y||16||Claim Bonus||Sig terms: Min deposit of £/$/€10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/$/€10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expires after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time • Withdrawal restrictions & full T&Cs apply|
|31||N||Y||31||Claim Bonus||Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+. New players only. www.begambleaware.org|
|22||N||Y||23||Claim Bonus||18+ New Customers Only. Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token. Offer applies to Sport bets only. Maximum total stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total stake). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply. BeGambleaware.org|
Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?
Tiger Roll ended the poor recent record of Grand National favourites in 2019 and 2021 market leader Cloth Cap (best odds 4/1) has an awful lot going for him on paper.
The only negative to his chance is that he has never run at Aintree but on all other trends he fits the bill and even more persuasive is the fact that he is a stone ‘well in’, making him easily the best treated horse in the race at the weights. If he jumps round then he is going to take some stopping.
Lake View Lad (best odds 40/1), also owned by Trevor Hemmings, doesn’t have the scope for progress as his owner-mate but he very much fits the bill from a trends perspective and he didn’t get much luck before eventually being pulled up in the race in 2019. He’s a high-class stayer on his day and would be a danger to all if getting into a better rhythm and avoiding trouble this time.
Kimberlite Candy (best odds 12/1) is a major player on the trends. He’s got the experience, the staying power, the class and, crucially, he’s already proven that he can act well over the unique Aintree fences having finished second in the last two editions of the Becher Chase.
Burrows Saint (best odds 10/1), winner of the 2019 Irish Grand National, fits almost all of the trends although he has only got nine chase runs on his CV, leaving him a fraction shy on the experience count.
Yala Enki (best odds 40/1) wouldn’t be the best handicapped horse in the race and he didn’t get past the first fence in 2019 but his Taunton success earlier in the year was up there with the best performances of his career on the numbers and he is a very strong stayer when he gets in the groove, as he showed when finishing third in the Welsh National at the beginning of 2021. He could easily outrun his odds.
Recent Grand National winners (No race in 2020)
|2017||One For Arthur||14/1|
|2016||Rule The World||33/1|
|2014||Pineau De Re||25/1|
|2010||Don’t Push It||10/1|
|2008||Comply or Die||7/1|
In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering.