Harry Kane Summer Transfer Betting Odds*
|To Stay At Tottenham||1/10||Unibet|
|Manchester City||10/3||Paddy Power|
|Paris Saint-Germain||16/1||Paddy Power|
|Real Madrid||20/1||Paddy Power|
*Odds up to date as of April 21, 2021
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It is not hard to see why England international Kane believes the grass might be greener elsewhere. He has endured a superb season on an individual level, having scored 21 goals and provided 13 assists in the Premier League.
There is not a player in the division who has bettered either tally. Yet for all Kane’s considerable contributions, Tottenham are seventh in the table and five points adrift of the top four with six games left to play.
Much has been made of the opportunity Spurs have to win their first trophy since 2008, with the League Cup final against Manchester City on Sunday.
Yet it's not exactly the type of prize Kane wants to be competing for. He is one of the world’s top strikers and is approaching his 28th birthday. It is only natural for him to be considering a move away from the Premier League’s seventh-placed side, regardless of his affinity with the club.
But where might Kane be playing his football next season? We take a look below.
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Both Manchester clubs would surely love to have Kane leading the line for them next season. If the 27-year-old does move on this summer, City are the favourites to win the race for his signature. They have the financial muscle to put a deal together and will be on the lookout for a new centre-forward, with Sergio Aguero set to depart as a free agent after 10 years at the Etihad Stadium.
Pep Guardiola has spoken glowingly of Kane in the past, and his Premier League experience means he is as close to a guarantee of goals in England’s top flight as is possible to find. However, Guardiola has very particular requirements for his strikers, and while there is no denying Kane’s quality, the Catalan might not see him as an ideal fit.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is unlikely to share that view. Kane, in many ways, looks like a ready-made fit for United (9/1), who could attempt to sign another striker even if Edinson Cavani signs a one-year extension. The Red Devils are currently eight points adrift of City, and they would undoubtedly be in a better position to challenge for the Premier League title in 2021/22 were Kane leading the line.
The problem for both clubs is that Daniel Levy will not want to sell his prized asset to a Premier League rival – more on which later.
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Reunion with Mauricio Pochettino?
Kane would no doubt love to become the Premier League’s all-time leading scorer before he retires, with the Tottenham man currently 96 behind Alan Shearer in first place. First and foremost, though, Kane will want to win league titles and the Champions League. It would therefore be a surprise if he did not consider a move overseas, and PSG are given a 16/1 (Paddy Power) chance of bringing him in this summer.
Any deal hinges on Kylian Mbappe’s future. PSG want to tie the France international down to a new contract, with his current one set to expire in 2022. If they are unable to do so, they could sell him to Real Madrid – and that in turn would open up a vacancy up front.
Mauricio Pochettino could push for the acquisition of Kane in that scenario, but it is worth noting that he does not have the final say on recruitment at the Parc des Princes. Moreover, Mbappe may yet stay put and sign a new deal, in which case PSG would struggle to afford Kane.
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Another Season at Tottenham?
The most likely option, as indicated by odds of 1/10, is on Kane remaining at Tottenham. That could be because they get over the line in the race for the Champions League and the striker decides he can fulfil his ambitions in north London. More probable, though, is that his contractual situation will dictate what happens.
Kane signed a six-year deal in 2018, a decision he might regret now. Given it has three years left to run, Tottenham are under little financial pressure to sell. Some reports have claimed that Levy would not consider doing business for anything less than £150m, and it is hard to see any club meeting that price amid the pandemic.
It sometimes makes sense for clubs to cash in on their best player and rebuild with the funds received, but that is not the case here. Losing Kane would be a major blow to Tottenham’s ambitions, and the striker’s lengthy contract means the power lies with Levy.
There may yet be twists and turns to come, but right now it looks like Kane will still be in north London when the summer transfer window closes.
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How Much Will Kane Cost?
If Kane is to move, Levy can point to his star player’s long-term contract and demand a huge sum. With revenue down at football clubs all over Europe and beyond due to the lack of crowds at games, experts predict significantly less spending in the transfer market this summer.
Will that hamper Kane’s chances of a move if he hands in a transfer request at the end of the season? Former Arsenal defender Nigel Winterburn believes so but has warned Tottenham fans to brace themselves for a turbulent summer.
“It could get a little bit messy,” Winterburn told bookmakers.co.uk. “He’s on a long-term deal so I think it would take a huge amount of money for Daniel Levy to move him on, even if he has an unhappy player.
“We’re also in a different financial world now with everything that’s gone on with Covid, so teams are probably a little bit more reluctant to do big business.
“I’m not even sure where you start with his potential transfer fee, I guess you’re looking at £125million, maybe even more.
“Who’s going to pay that and how in the current market? It could be an interesting summer, it would be explosive if Harry Kane announced that he wants to leave.
“But he’s on a long deal so the transfer fee could be an issue, there aren’t many clubs who have a bottomless pit at the moment.”
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Despite the potential stumbling block with the transfer fee, Winterburn believes cracks are finally starting to show, and with Tottenham now searching for a new manager Kane’s future is even more up in the air than it already was.
“He gave an interview recently and it’s the first time I’ve seen him show any sort of doubt about his future at the club,” said Winterburn.
“Looking at it now, they’re changing their manager again, how does he feel about that?
“He has to ask himself if he feels like he can go to a club that has a chance of winning domestic and European competitions.
“Certain players are happy where they are and carry that belief that they can pick up a trophy at the club they’re at, others are much more ruthless and decide to move when it suits them.
“It’s the first time I’ve detected a slight change in the manner he’s answering questions about his future.”
Ladbrokes go 2/1 on Kane leaving Tottenham this summer for any other club.