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Kylian Mbappe Summer Transfer Betting Odds*
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|Manchester City||33/1||Paddy Power|
*Odds up to date as of August 30, 2021
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Four days after scoring in a 4-2 win over Stade Brest, reports emerged that Real Madrid had lodged a £137 million bid for Kylian Mbappe, with the Frenchman having just one year remaining on his Paris Saint-Germain contract. It is something of a surprise that Real are prepared to splash out on a player who becomes a free agent next year, although they became betting favourites to capture his signature.
It has been reported that Mbappe is keen to make the switch to Spain, with Lionel Messi having recently arrived at PSG and this was treated with acclaim by Neymar, although it seems as though the French striker now wants a change of career and he could become the main superstar at the Bernabeu.
The 22-year-old has turned down contract extensions at PSG on three different occasions although the French club are seemingly keeping the player against his will and the bookies now think it's a likelier prospect that he will remain at the Parc des Princes.
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Madrid Calling for Ronaldo fan?
Real Madrid are the only club who can sign Kylian Mbappe, with Los Blancos having been long-term admirers of the World Cup winner, who idolised Cristiano Ronaldo while growing up.
“Mbappe really wants to go to Madrid,” his former team-mate Jese Rodriguez said earlier this year. “He began to [watch] Madrid when he was 16 years old, Cristiano was his idol. He loves Madrid and I am sure he will play there one day.”
As evidenced by their baffling refusal to withdraw from the doomed Super League project, Madrid are going through one or two financial difficulties right now. Yet the fact that Mbappe’s PSG contract expires in 2022 helps their cause. The closer it is to the end of a deal, the more power the player has. If the 22-year-old tells his current employers that he will not be signing fresh terms, PSG could conclude that it makes sense to cash in this summer.
There is also a sense that Madrid need a rebuild. This is a team that has grown old together, and their lack of dynamism was brutally exposed by Chelsea in the semi-finals of the Champions League last season. With Zinedine Zidane having vacated the hot seat, new manager Carlo Ancelotti hopes to be backed in the transfer market – and that only increases the chances of Madrid going after Mbappe.
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Liverpool the Most Likely English Destination
Liverpool are the second-favourites to sign Mbappe from PSG. The 2020/21 season ultimately ended well for the Reds, who secured Champions League football on the final weekend, but Jurgen Klopp and his players will not be content with another third-place finish in the Premier League this term.
Their need is less urgent than Madrid’s, but Liverpool will also be looking to add fresh blood to their team this summer. The front three has served the club extremely well throughout Klopp’s tenure, but many fans now believe that it is time to add a different dimension to the mix. Mbappe would certainly provide that, although his arrival would probably depend on one of Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane or Roberto Firmino seeking pastures new.
Mbappe has spoken highly of Liverpool in the past, and he would be a good stylistic fit for a team that remains at its most potent in transition. However, it remains to be seen whether the Reds would be able to pay the same salary as the likes of Real Madrid, Manchester City or even PSG. Salah is their highest-earner on £200,000 per week and Mbappe is reported to earn almost double that in Paris.
A free transfer next summer might be Liverpool's best hope of signing Mbappe - the current transfer window looks a step too soon.
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Manchester City Need a New Forward
Manchester City enjoyed a fantastic season in 2020/21, with Pep Guardiola’s false nine system reaping rewards domestically and on the continent. Sergio Aguero has joined Barcelona and Gabriel Jesus has still not won the full trust of his manager, so City are on the lookout for a new frontman this window.
Erling Haaland and Harry Kane have both been linked with a move to the Etihad Stadium. There are, however, doubts over whether Haaland is really a Guardiola-type player, while Tottenham Hotspur are doing all they can to prevent selling Kane to a Premier League rival.
Mbappe is another option, and City would have few problems paying the required transfer fee and wage packet. Yet PSG would be particularly loath to lose the 22-year-old to a club that, in terms of its ownership structure and recent history, is similar to its own.
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Barca, Man Utd and Chelsea Rank Outsiders
Barcelona are clear outsiders to win the race for Mbappe. The Catalans would no doubt love to add the Frenchman to their squad, but it is hard to see how they could afford to pull off a deal.
With club debts supposedly topping £1billion, Barcelona will be severely restricted in all upcoming transfer windows. Perhaps Barca will be able to offer Mbappe a contract next summer if he becomes a free agent, but for now it appears unlikely that they will be able to compete with wage offers from other major clubs.
Meanwhile, Manchester United have seemingly completed their summer dealings following the mega-money captures of Jadon Sancho and Raphael Varane, meaning their odds of signing Mbappe this window are pretty long. Should Mbappe remain at PSG beyond the summer window, they will no doubt be on red alert as the France striker will be free to speak with other clubs come January.
PSG Face Nervous Wait
The most likely outcome is that Mbappe will still be at PSG at the end of the window, but the French giants have been left to sweat. Neymar has committed his future to the club already, Messi has signed a two-year deal, yet Mbappe seems content to leave his options open. If he submits a formal request to leave, PSG will be in a very difficult position.
However, it may well suit Mbappe to remain tight-lipped for now, with a view to signing a new deal with PSG later this season, or becoming a free agent in 2022. As such, fans of Madrid, Liverpool and Manchester City should not get too excited just yet.