Latest Premier League Betting Trends: Two-Goal Games on the Rise

Goals have been in good supply in recent weeks in the Premier League and across the top European leagues

Latest Premier League Betting Trends: Two-Goal Games on the Rise

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There was a common belief with football commentators that 2-0 was the most dangerous lead in the game.

Not 1-0, which could be wiped out with a single goal, but 2-0, which did not make much sense to many of the people listening.

In the most recent round of Premier League games, four of the nine matches finished in 2-0 wins, which goes against that theory.

Of the nine fixtures played in England's top flight last weekend, six saw exactly two goals scored, including West Brom's 1-1 draw at home to Wolves on Monday.

It was a similar story in Italy, where six of the 10 fixtures played last weekend ended with exactly two goals scored.

Many betting companies offer odds for the exact number of goals to be scored in games, which might be worth thinking about this weekend if this current trend continues.

For bettors who like to back under 2.5 total goals, these results would also have been winning bets, but backing the exact number of goals scored offers greater value than the over/under.

As the five major leagues in Europe draw closer to their conclusions, goals have been in good supply in recent weeks.

16 of the last 20 Premier League games played have seen at least two goals scored. In fact, the last 11 top flight games in England have all produced a minimum of two goals.

Two goals in a game is a trend that is also evident in Europe's top leagues.

In Italy, 12 of the last 13 Serie A games have seen at least two goals scored while in France, 10 of the last 11 Ligue 1 matches have seen a minimum of two goals scored.


Exactly 2 Goals in Last 10 Games Across Europe:

  • 6 - Premier League
  • 6 - Serie A
  • 4 - Bundesliga
  • 3 - La Liga
  • 3 - Ligue 1

In Germany, 15 of the last 17 Bundesliga matches have produced two goals or more.

Low scoring games, especially goalless draws, are on the decline.

Leeds United's 0-0 draw at home to Manchester United is the only goalless draw in the last 20 Premier League games.

Incredibly, in Italy, the last 0-0 draw in Serie A was on February 21 when Roma were held by Benevento.

Since then, the last 111 games have all seen at least one goal scored.

As long as the goals continue to flow, football fans will be happy.


Death of the Goalless Draw:

  • Serie A - 0 in the last 111 games
  • Ligue 1 - 0 in the last 25 games
  • Bundesliga - 0 in the last 19 games
  • La Liga - 0 in the last 18 games
  • Premier League - 1 in the last 20 games

In England, the recent trend of games with no goals or one goal is down 7.9 per cent on the season average.

One of this weekend's games in the Premier League that could see exactly two goals scored is at Anfield, where Southampton are the visitors.

Liverpool's last two games have ended in 1-1 draws while Ralph Hasenhuttl's side drew 1-1 at home to Leicester last Friday night.

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The Reds' scoring has dried up in recent months with an average of a goal a game in their last 12 league contests, while Saints averaged one goal in their last seven away games.

If these scoring trends continue then we could well see precisely two goals scored on Saturday evening.

William Hill are offering odds of 16/5 for exactly two goals to be scored at Anfield and 17/2 for another 1-1 draw.

In Italy, Napoli travel to Spezia in a game that could see exactly two goals scored at 3/1.

Spezia's last three Serie A games have ended with exactly two goals scored, while Napoli's last two league contests have also seen exactly two goals scored.

Predicting the exact number of goals in a match can be tricky, but if successful, it can be financially rewarding.


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