Manchester City have a flawless home record in the Premier League this season. There have been eight successive victories at the Etihad Stadium, with thirty goals plundered, giving the champions of England a healthy average of 3.75 goals in front of their own supporters.
This explains why Pep Guardiola’s side are trading at extreme odds-on to win Saturday’s lunchtime encounter against Everton, with Coral among the braver of the top bookmakers to chalk up 2/9 that the 100% home record continues this term.
Many betting customers will be hoping for a winning start to their weekend accumulator by selecting Manchester City, with the English champions rarely letting punters down although they did slip up at Stamford Bridge last weekend.
After dominating the opening exchanges, the Citizens were sucker-punched and we also have to take into account that the team had a Champions League engagement with Hoffenheim as recently as Wednesday.
Everton Would be Happy With a Draw
It’s clear that a draw would represent a positive outcome for Everton in their quest to land a top six finish this season and the Toffees can be backed at a monster 14/1 with Ladbrokes to pull off a surprise win which would delight the team’s Merseyside neighbours.
While it’s difficult to build a compelling case why Marco Silva’s side can land what would be three bonus points at the Etihad Stadium, they did recently go to Anfield and push Liverpool very close, with Everton looking the more likely team in the final throes before a freakish goal proved decisive.
The draw is trading at 13/2 with BetVictor and might prove interesting to In-Play backers who could forecast that these odds might shorten should Everton avoid conceding an early goal and even get to half-time with the scoreline level.
Ladbrokes offer 11/10 that Manchester City win this match without reply and our first instinct is to consider this a value proposition, although further inspection suggests that the home side are more likely to win with both teams finding the net during the ninety minutes.
This has happened in five of their eight home matches to date, with Bournemouth, Manchester United, Southampton, Huddersfield and Newcastle all bagging once and it’s clear that Guardiola doesn’t prize clean sheets providing that his team can outscore their opponents.
Both Teams to Score Looks Good
With 62.5% of City wins coming with both teams scoring, we’re happy enough to get involved at odds of 7/5, especially with Everton averaging a goal per away game and they’ve found the net in four of their seven matches on the road this season.
Marco Silva will initially look to employ the sort of tactics that saw his team claim a goalless draw at Stamford Bridge and nearly do the same at Anfield, although this doesn’t take into account that the Toffees created scoring chances in both encounters.
With Richarlison looking bright since arriving from Watford and Gylfi Sigurdsson possessing so much prowess from set pieces, we’re happy to back the 7/5 at Bet365 as our main bet and also have a little wager on City claiming a 3-1 winning scoreline.
This happened against Bournemouth and Manchester United, with Guardiola knowing that this scoreline effectively kills things and his side are the best in the Premier League when it comes to game management.