How do you find value in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe betting when sure-fire winner Enable is red-hot favourite to retain her lofty title, on the race’s return to Longchamp?
After two years at Chantilly due to refurbishments to Longchamp’s buildings, the Arc is back in Paris and Enable is out to land a second Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe win, with no concerns.
Khallid Abdullah’s superstar has drawn the very attractive stall six, put her injury woes behind her with victory at Kempton four weeks ago, has no issues with potentially soft ground, and is by far the highest rated horse in the 19-runner field.
The first alternative Arc betting market to look at is the Forecast/Tricast. To play this horse racing bet you select a horse you think will win, then a horse to finish second if betting Forecast, and also a horse to finish third if betting Tricast.
To eliminate some risk, you can bet Reverse Forecast or Combination Tricast, which means you will win as long as the two or three horses you have selected finish in the first two or three, regardless of the order.
Sea Of Class could have been challenging Enable for favouritism if she hadn’t drawn such a wide starting stall in 15 (of 19). But her racing style - held up - should mean that doesn’t totally derail her bid, though that, and any softening in the ground, probably will cost her the win.
Having said that, Sea Of Class is designed to win the race, her sire Sea The Stars and his dam Urban Sea both victorious in the now €5million contest. She is a top price of 7/2 with all the best bookmakers, and the obvious choice for second place. Finding the third is trickier.
Frenchman Andre Fabre is the Arc’s most successful trainer with seven wins. He hasn’t won since Rail Link in 2006, but has saddled three thirds and three seconds in the past 10 renewals, making his first string Waldegeist intriguing - particularly as the course-and-distance winner handles any ground.
What rules him out though is the weight he has to give to trainer Aidan O’Brien’s highly-decorated Classic winner Kew Gardens. This three-year-old has winning Royal Ascot and course-and-distance form, and carries 6lbs less than Waldegeist. He does look best over further, but then it might actually suit him to be drawn as wide as he is in 14, plus, from there, he can track Sea Of Class.
Play Enable (11/10) and Sea Of Class (7/2) in a straight or reverse forecast with Paddy Power, or go the whole hog and bet Enable 1st, Sea Of Class 2nd, and Kew Gardens (7/1) 3rd - or the Combination Tricast with Totesport.
Yep, Enable Is 14/1!
On Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe day there will be more alternative markets, like betting without Enable, and winning distance specials. But right now Coral is offering betting on an Arc handicap.
Every horse is 14/1 in the market, Enable is obviously scratch, Sea Of Class gets a 1.5 length head start, and Waldegeist and Kew Gardens 4 lengths, and the latter’s stablemate Capri has 6.5 lengths. Cloth Of Stars, Talismanic, and Study Of Man all get 8 lengths and it’s 9 or more for the rest.
Enable beat Cloth Of Stars by 2.5 lengths in the Arc last year. He has not shone this season, but has that 8-length head-start on the handicap and makes some appeal. Despite his poor form, he remains rated just 3lbs less than the 128-rated Enable.
The best bet in this handicap market looks to be Kew Gardens. He just has too much class to be finishing that far behind Enable so back Kew Gardens at 14/1 with +4 lengths on the handicap with Coral.