2021 Royal Ascot Betting Trends

Bookmakers.co.uk looks at the latest trends ahead of each of the eight Group 1 races at Royal Ascot 2021

2021 Royal Ascot Betting Trends

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

Race Details

Date: Tuesday, June 15, 2021 (2.30pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 1m (Straight Course)

Age: 4yo+

Prizemoney: £400,000

TV: ITV & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners had won at least three races previously
  • 9/10 winners were male
  • 9/10 winners ran over 1m+ last time out
  • 9/10 winners were no bigger than 14/1
  • 9/10 winners ridden by the same jockey as last time out
  • 7/10 winners have been 4-year-olds
  • 5/10 winners were sent off favourite

Trainer and Jockey Queen Anne Trends

No trainer has saddled more Queen Anne Stakes winners than Saeed bin Suroor but the last of his seven victories came in 2007. Aidan O’Brien has trained four winners since 2006, most recently with Circus Maximus in 2020.

Frankie Dettori is the winning-most Queen Anne rider of the modern era with six wins in the race, although the last of which was on Ramonti in 2007. Ryan Moore and William Buick have both hit the board in recent years.

2021 Queen Anne Stakes Betting

Queen Anne Stakes betting lists are dominated by runaway Lockinge Stakes winner Palace Pier who is odds-on across the board to add a fourth Group 1 success to an already glittering CV.

His layers will cling on to the fact that he fluffed his lines at the 2020 Royal meeting when he could only manage third in the QEII Stakes (sent off 8/11f). However, he is currently the standout older miler in training in Europe and he fits the key trends – especially as he will be partnered by Frankie Dettori.


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King’s Stand Stakes Trends

Race Details

Date: Tuesday, June 15, 2021 (3.40pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 5f

Age: 3yo+

Prizemoney: £350,000

TV: ITV & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 9/10 winners were NOT sent off favourite on the day (Battaash in 2020 the exception)
  • 9/10 winners had already run at least once that season (Battaash in 2020 the exception)
  • 9/10 winners were no bigger than 12/1
  • 8/10 winners aged 4-6
  • 7/10 winners officially rated 110+
  • 7/10 winners had run at Ascot at least once before
  • 7/10 winners had already scored in Group 1 company

Trainer and Jockey King’s Stand Trends

Since 2000, the King’s Stand Stakes has been won by an international raider on eight occasions. Of the home-based trainers, Charlie Appleby and Robert Cowell have both won the race twice in the last decade.

Jim Crowley has won the race twice since 2011 and has finished runner-up on two occasions, which is the strongest recent record of any jockey. He’ll also be on board Battaash in 2021, barring accidents. Godolphin duo James Doyle and William Buick have both steered Blue Point to victory in the race since 2018.

2021 King’s Stand Stakes Betting

Having finished second in 2018 and 2019, Battaash finally landed this prize in 2020 and the Charles Hills-trained speedball is once again a warm order. Like 12 months ago, Battaash heads to Ascot without a prior outing under his belt, but we know he goes well fresh and the 7-year-old very much sets the standard.

Liberty Beach was well head by Battaash in the 2020 King’s Stand so perhaps a bigger threat could come from up-and-coming filly Winter Power who looked a filly going to the top when demolishing her rivals at York.


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St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

Race Details

Date: Tuesday, June 15, 2021 (4.20pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 1m (Round Course)

Age: 3yo (colts)

Prizemoney: £350,000

TV: ITV4 & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners were no bigger than 10/1 in the betting
  • 10/10 winners had raced over 1m+ previously
  • 9/10 winners had already won a race that season
  • 9/10 winners had NOT previously run at Ascot
  • 9/10 winners had an official rating of 109+
  • 7/10 winners won their previous outing
  • 6/10 winners had won a Group 1 race previously (none of last four winners have done so

Trainer and Jockey St James’s Palace Trends

Aidan O’Brien leads the way with eight St James’s Palace Stakes victories to his name, most recently with Circus Maximus in 2019.

John Gosden has won the race three times since 2014, two of which were partnered by Frankie Dettori, who has been onboard three of the last five winners in all. James Doyle and Ryan Moore have also won the race twice since 2014.

2021 St James’s Palace Stakes Betting

2,000 Guineas winner Poetic Flare heads 2021 St James’s Palace Stakes betting lists but this promises to be a hotly contested renewal, especially if French Derby winner St Mark’s Basilica drops back in trip for this contest.

Chindit looks a particularly interesting contender given the track at Ascot is much more likely to suit than the Rowley Mile, where his Guineas effort failed to materialise. The likes of Highland Avenue and Mostahdaf, who represents the John Gosden team, also have the potential to step up.


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Prince Of Wales’s Stakes Trends

Race Details

Date: Wednesday, June 16, 2021 (4.20pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 1m2f

Age: 4yo+

Prizemoney: £700,000

TV: ITV & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners had previously won in Group company
  • 9/10 winners had already won over 1m2f+
  • 9/10 winners were male
  • 9/10 had at least one previous run that season
  • 9/10 winners were rated 119 or higher
  • 8/10 winners were NOT sent off favourite on the day
  • 7/10 winners won on their previous outing
  • 5/10 winners had already scored in Group 1 company

Trainer and Jockey Prince Of Wales’s Trends

Sir Michael Stoute first won the Prince of Wales’s Stakes in 1981 and recent victories for Poet’s Word (2018) and Crystal Ocean (2019) mean the Newmarket trainer has landed this famous price on four occasions. Highland Reel (2017) is the most recent of Aidan O’Brien’s three wins.

James Doyle and Frankie Dettori are the hot jockeys in this contest. Doyle has won it three times since 2013, most recently with the impressive Lord North in 2020, while Dettori has ridden four Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winners in all, the first being Fantastic Light in 2001.

2021 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes Betting

No horse has reclaimed their Prince Of Wales’s Stakes crown since Muhtarram in 1995 but 2020 winner Lord North is clear ante-post favourite to achieve the rare feat.

The big danger could be Love who will be bidding to become only the third filly to win the race this century. Trends followers will be wary of her though, as she has not had a previous run this season. Addeybb would be a big player if conditions turned soft.


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Ascot Gold Cup Trends

Race Details

Date: Thursday, June 17, 2021 (4.20pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 2m4f

Age: 4yo+

Prizemoney: £350,000

TV: ITV & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners were aged 4-6
  • 9/10 winners had at least five previous Flat wins
  • 8/10 winners in the top three in the betting
  • 8/10 winners had a rating of 117+
  • 7/10 winners had previously won at Ascot
  • 6/10 winners had already won in Group 1 company

Trainer and Jockey Gold Cup Trends

Aidan O’Brien has won the race seven times although with only four different horses. The great Yeats won it four consecutive times (2006-09). Mark Johnston hasn’t won the Gold Cup since Double Trigger stormed to victory under Jason Weaver in 1995 but the Middleham trainer has a live chance in 2021 with Subjectivist.

Frankie Dettori has dominated the race from a riding perspective in recent years, winning the last three renewals aboard Stradivarius and the same combination will be trying to equal the record of Yeats in 2021.

2021 Gold Cup Betting

Ante-post Ascot Gold Cup betting lists are dominated by Stradivarius who is bidding to become the joint most successful horse in the history of this famous race. He looked as good as ever in the Sagaro Stakes, a key trial for this, although the form of that contest has taken a couple of knocks since.

Subjectivist has taken his form to a new level on his last couple of runs and he looked a top-draw stayer when running away with the Dubai Gold Cup at Meydan. He’s already a Group 1 winner, has further progress in him and has run well at Ascot in the past so he’s got a good deal going for him. Rain would bring Trueshan into the argument, also.


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Commonwealth Cup Trends

Race Details

Date: Friday, June 18, 2021 (3.40pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 6f

Age: 3yo

Prizemoney: £350,000

TV: ITV & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends (only six previous editions)

  • 6/6 winners had won at least once previously
  • 5/6 winners had already won in Group company
  • 5/6 winners were rated 114+
  • 5/6 winners were colts
  • 5/6 winners had already run at least once at Ascot
  • 4/6 winners were NOT sent off favourite on the day

Trainer and Jockey Commonwealth Cup Trends

In the six previous editions of this relatively new race there have been six different trainer/jockey combinations. Aidan O’Brien won the race with Caravaggio in 2017 but he’s had a couple of expensive failures since, notably with Ten Sovereigns (even money chance) in 2019.

2021 Commonwealth Cup Betting

Ante-post 2021 Commonwealth Cup betting lists are wide open and there are question marks over many of the main contenders. We have yet to have an international winner of this race but that could change in 2021 because Wesley Ward’s Camapanelle looked a sprint star in the making when running away with last year’s Prix Morny and she has proved that she is fully effective on any ground. Ignore her last run, she didn’t stay the mile.

Supremacy, who represents last year’s winning team, would be a big player on his 2-year-old form but he bombed out on his seasonal return so has something to prove now. French-raider Suesa has looked a bit of a star but all of her form is on soft ground.



Coronation Stakes Trends

Race Details

Date: Friday, June 18, 2021 (4.20pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 1m

Age: 3yo (fillies)

Prizemoney: £350,000

TV: ITV & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners had won at least twice previously
  • 9/10 winners rated 108+
  • 9/10 winners had already won at least once over 1m
  • 9/10 winners ran within 47 days
  • 8/10 winners were no bigger than 8/1
  • 7/10 were trained in Ireland or France (including last six)

Trainer and Jockey Coronation Stakes Trends

Jessica Harrington has won two of the last three editions of this famous race, one more than Aidan O’Brien although O’Brien has won the race three times in total. Pay close attention to French-trained runners in the Coronation Stakes because the prize has headed back over the English Channel three times in the last six years.

Ryan Moore has ridden two winners of the race since 2014 while Frankie Dettori finally broke his duck in 2020 abord Alpine Star.

2021 Coronation Stakes Betting

1,000 Guineas winners don’t actually have a great record in this race but Mother Earth, winner at Newmarket, was probably only undone by very testing ground in France and Aidan O’Brien’s charge has to be a big runner back on a sound surface.

Primo Bacio looked good at York but her revised mark is still 1lb shy of the 108 that has tended to be the benchmark in this race. Potapova and Bellosa are both lightly-raced and unbeaten so could still be anything.


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Diamond Jubilee Stakes Trends

Race Details

Date: Saturday, June 19, 2021 (4.20pm)

Class: Group 1

Distance: 6f

Age: 4yo+

Prizemoney: £700,000

TV: ITV4 & Sky Sports Racing

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners aged 3-5
  • 10/10 winners had run at least once that season
  • 9/10 winners had won at least once in Group company
  • 9/10 winners had already won at least once over 6f
  • 9/10 winners were rated 114+
  • 7/10 winners had run already run at Ascot at least once previously
  • 7/10 winners were NOT sent off favourite on the day

Trainer and Jockey Diamond Jubilee Stakes Trends

Plenty of trainers that are strong with their sprinters have won this race in recent years, including Henry Candy, James Fanshawe and Kevin Ryan. Aidan O’Brien has won the race with Starspangledbanner and Merchant Navy since 2010.

Ryan Moore has ridden two Diamond Jubilee winners since 2014 but Tom Queally is the only other jockey to have ridden more than one winner of the race in the last decade.

2021 Diamond Jubilee Stakes Betting

There is room for a star in the sprinting ranks and Starman could be it. His only defeat in five starts came in the 2020 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot but soft ground has to be a valid excuse for that failure. He won his return at York and looks ready for a crack at the best of the older sprinters.

Dream Of Dreams, beaten a head in the 2020 Diamond Jubilee Stakes, has to be big runner once again although he would ideally prefer some ease in the ground. The same can be said for the admirable Glen Shiel, winner of the sprint on Champions Day in 2020.


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