- Back Altior-Un De Sceaux In A Forecast Bet at Totesport
- Bet On Un De Sceaux Each Way at 11/2 with Unibet
For the first time since April 2017, Un De Sceaux will be re-united with Ruby Walsh in Satrurday's Tingle Creek Chase, against odds-on favourite Altior.
Last season's novices and Un De Sceaux are the only challengers to Altior in the Tingle Creek betting, as the rest of the older campaigners steer clear of the unbeaten chaser.
Aside from Altior's odds-on price tag of 8/11 with Totesport, the betting is even between second-season chaser Saint Calvados and Sceau Royal, and 2016 winner Un De Sceaux, but are they playing for second-place?
Tingle Creek Chase Trends
What the Tingle Creek Chase trends show without doubt is that the Grade 1 is a championship two-mile chase that is generally won by an established senior star in the ranks or, an exceptional second-season chaser - and I mean, exceptional.
Four from the second camp have won in the past 12 years - Sprinter Sacre, Sire De Grugy, Dodging Bullets, and Twist Magic - three won the next year's Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, the other won the Punchestown equivalent.
So if you want to back a former novice to win, you have to also expect them to win the Champion Chase. Sceau Royal (11/2 Bet365) is 14/1 to win that Cheltenham Festival race with Ladbrokes and has already tasted senior company by winning the Schloer Chase at Cheltenham last month.
However, that day he was the highest rated in the field and the 5/4 favourite. He was not highly tried as a novice, and is only rated 158 now, bringing us on to the next key Tingle Creek trend: 2/12 winners were rated lower than 161 - Twist Magic and Dodging Bullets.
Best Bet For Tingle Creek
The entries harbour two horses rated above 161, including the 175-rated favourite Altior. Irish champion trainer Willie Mullins saddles the other, Un De Sceaux.
Un De Sceaux won the Tingle Creek in 2016, but side-stepped the race last year for the Hilly Way Chase. If you don't want to back Altior in some way, Un De Sceaux has a cracking chance at 11/2 with Unibet.
Jockey Ruby Walsh, blighted by injury for the past two seasons, re-unites with the star on Saturday for the first time since 2017, when they won the Ryanair Chase. He has won 15 of his 20 rides on Un De Sceaux and the horse is 12/15 over 1m7.5f-2m0.5f - never finishing out of the first two.
If you must back one horse, he looks the best bet, but some kind of forecast involving Altior could also be prudent - with perhaps Un De Sceaux the best bet for finishing second to the all-conquering hero at Sandown.