Cheltenham 2021 Ante-Post Tips
|Captain Guinness||Arkle Chase||25/1||Coral|
|Commander Of Fleet||RSA Chase||50/1||Betfair|
|Envoi Allen||Marsh Chase||6/1||Paddy Power|
|Angels Breath||Ryanair Chase||33/1||BetHard|
Tip 1 - Captain Guinness - Arkle Chase
Shishkin proved himself to be a very special horse in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival. He had his doubters, myself included, but he powered up the hill to get back to Abacadabras in a truly inspired performance after effectively being brought down earlier in the race.
It was an immense display and he could be very, very good.
He will be a very hard competitor to beat wherever he shows up, but at 25/1 with Coral it might be worth chancing Captain Guinness for Henry De Bromhead who looked very unlucky in the same race when brought down two out.
#ExpertEye: Our team give mentions to Elixir D'Ainay and Captain Guinness, both unfortunate in the @SkyBet Supreme Novices' Hurdle.— Racing TV (@RacingTV) March 10, 2020
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That was only Captain Guinness' third ever start and he was travelling very strongly when bumped into three out by the perpetually jumping out to his right Asterion Forlonge, who then completely took Captain Guinness and Elixir D'ainay out at the next hurdle.
Before this however he was proving that he could live with a championship pace and was running a career best. He has a massive amount of improvement left in him and there can be no doubt that like the vast majority in the Henry De Bromhead stable that he will be a lot better again for going over a fence similar to Notebook and this year's Arkle winner, Put The Kettle On.
With any amount of improvement possible he looks a big price here to win the 2021 Arkle Chase at 25/1 with Coral.
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Tip 2 - Abacadabras - Champion Hurdle
While Shishkin can prove himself to be top class next season, the runner up on the day, Abacadabras, looked one to keep on side going forward over hurdles.
I'm taking the early position that this is a very good Supreme, and I think there is easily four or five horses you can take out of the race at least, and Abacadabras is definitely one of these.
He proved he more than handles the Cheltenham hill, he proved he is adept on any ground and looks an ideal candidate for the Champion Hurdle. The form he holds is strong, particularly that of chasing home Envoi Allen (Darver Star in 3rd), but I think this form will only continue to look stronger and stronger as the years go on.
👀 The @BarOneRacing Grade One Royal Bond Novice Hurdle @Fairyhouse turned out to be a decent contest:— Racing TV (@RacingTV) March 22, 2020
🥇 Envoi Allen - Ballymore winner
🥈 Abacadabras - Supreme Novices' Hurdle runner-up
🥉 Darver Star - Champion Hurdle third pic.twitter.com/yw3SbUnm7d
Abacadabras doesn't look like a big chasing type and I hope connections might opt to keep him over hurdles for the season. He deserves a shot at a Champion Hurdle and the better the ground, the more improvement there will be in this son of Davidoff. 10/1 with BoyleSports is very interesting.
The main thing we can hope for is that the likes of Abacadabras, Goshen and Epatante actually get to the festival in 2021, as a race full of promise like this can quickly fall apart, as we found out in 2020 with a poor renewal of the Champion Hurdle!
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Tip 3 - Commander Of Fleet - RSA Chase
Recency bias is often a major factor in ante-post markets for the Cheltenham Festival at this juncture, and I can't quite understand how Commander Of Fleet is 50/1 with Betfair for the RSA Chase if he can get over the injuries that ruled him out of this season.
There can be no doubt that this year's Albert Bartlett crop look very good, but the 2019 renewal has been well advertised this season and he ran a huge race to be second on the day. He split Minella Indo and Allaho on that occasion, two horses who ran massively in this year's RSA Chase. The likes of Lisnagar Oscar in behind have also advertised the strength of the form in the meantime.
There can be no doubt that you are taking a bit of a risk that he might not be the force of old, but he is only a 6-year-old and it's worth finding out at 50/1 with Betfair whether he can return to the top of his game once again.
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Tip 4 - Envoi Allen - Marsh Chase
This one is really simple logically, I don't think as long as he stays sound that you will be getting anything like the 6/1 after a few runs about Envoi Allen next season.
Envoi Allen - see you next season champ:— Racing TV (@RacingTV) March 21, 2020
🏇 Eight races
🥇 Eight wins
🏆 Three-time Grade One winning hurdler
🏆 Dual Cheltenham Festival hero
💷 £283,129 in prize money
⭐️ Racing's new superstar#Starsoftheseason@gelliott_racing@CPStudOfficialpic.twitter.com/eQ1caXSVw2
He is just such an amazing horse and we have absolutely no idea how good he is as he just swots competitors away with such a display of lazy brilliance that it's exceptionally hard to actually get a gauge of his true level.
The bookmakers.co.uk ambassador Keith Donoghue spent all season telling you here how brilliant this horse is, and he backed it up in spades with every performance. He's 6/1 with Paddy Power for the 2021 Marsh Novices' Chase and that looks a bet for me.
There is obvious risks involved here such as injury and of course the fact that he may change to another Cheltenham Festival race, although I'm quietly confident that he will be targeted at this race like Samcro was.
They think Envoi Allen is a future Gold Cup horse, but they probably will opt for the Marsh route, rather than the RSA Chase which can take a lot out of a young horse.
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Tip 5 - Angels Breath - Ryanair Chase
A race I would usually run a mile from at this time of the year, but Angels Breath looks a bit of a big price here at 33/1 with BetHard.
He's a horse we have always thought the absolute world of on the #racehour podcast and he looked like he was really going to set the world alight this season after two brilliant novice chase performance in succession. Unfortunately, he suffered an overreach after his last run and his season was over.
He can operate at the highest level and if getting a bit more luck next season he can definitely step up to open Grade One's and 33/1 with BetHard may look big in a year's time!
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