Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2020 Trends

Not all trends for Cheltenham Festival novices' hurdles are equal, so we've worked out the most important Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle trends from the last 10 years for you. Use them to find the best horses to follow right now the 2020 running.

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2020 Trends

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2020 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Finished in the first four last time out
  • Had run at least four times in the last 12 months
  • Had placed in a Grade 2 or Grade 3 hurdle
  • Had finished no worse than third, if that had run at Cheltenham
  • Last ran at least 26 days ago, but no more than 78

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Finished in the first three last time out - five winning
  • Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 hurdle
  • Had run in a hurdle race with a distance of at least 2m7f - seven winning
  • Had won on a course described as galloping
  • Had run at least three times that season, most running a lot more
  • Were aged six or older

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won at least two hurdle races
  • Had an official rating of 140 or higher
  • Were aged 6-7

Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The Grade 2 Classic Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham has produced two winners (At Fishers Cross and Bobs Worth) and three placed finishers in the past nine years. Harry Senior won this in 2020.
  • The Grade 2 Prestige Novices' Hurdle at Haydock has thrown out one winner (Brindisi Breeze) and two placed finihers in the past 10 years. The 2020 running is on February 15.
  • Traditionally, the 2m4f Grade 2 at Leopardstown was a good trial, with two winners in the past 11 years, but that has been replaced by a 2m6f Grade 1. 2019 winner Commander Of The Fleet went on to be second in the Albert Bartlett. The 2020 was taken by Latest Exhibition.
  • Though popular, the Grade 2 Leamington Novices' Hurdle at Warwick has only produced two placed finishers in the last 10 years. Mossy Fen won this trial in 2020.

Trainer Trends

  • Gordon Elliott appears to be luckless in the Albert Bartlett with three placed well-fancied horses from seven runners.
  • Willie Mullins has a paltry 3% strike rate having saddled one winner and three placed horses from 32 runners in the last 10 years.
  • Nicky Henderson isn't bad to follow; he has saddled one winner and three placed horses from 14 runners.
  • Colin Tizzard is perhaps the best trainer to follow, he's 1/9, with one placed horse too, but if you had bet £1 on all his runners, you'd now be up £25.
  • Ireland has won four of the last six runnings.

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Jockey Trends

  • No jockey has won the Albert Bartlett more than once in the past 12 years.

How did the trends do last year?

It was a complete trends bust for the Albert Bartlett in 2019 as Minella Indo chose the Cheltenham Festival to break his maiden tag over hurdles.

It was an odd year, with an equine flu outbreak, coupled with bad weather, making it very difficult for trainers to run their horses, in particular novice hurdlers.

Top of the trends was the only Grade 1 winner in the field, second-placed Commander Of Fleet, who had the required experience being 2/3 over hurdles, and had won over almost 3m. Prestige Novices' Hurdle winner Lisnagar Oscar was also a massive trends fancy, but could only finish fifth.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?

At the moment, Thyme Hill, third in last year's Cheltenham Champion Bumper, has the most positives going into the 2020 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle.

He has plenty of experience over hurdles, with three wins from three runs in Graded company, including at Cheltenham, and in the Grade 1 Challow Novices' Hurdle at Newbury.

But there are still three of the best Albert Bartlett trials yet to run. Anything could come out of the woodwork in the final run-up to the trends' 26-day cut-off.


2019 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stMinella Indo50/1Henry De BromheadRachael Blackmore
2ndCommander Of Fleet4/1fGordon ElliottJack Kennedy
3rdAllaho8/1Willie MullinsRuby Walsh

Cheltenham Festival 2020 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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