Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2022 Trends

Not all trends for Cheltenham Festival novices' hurdles are equal, so we've worked out the most important Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle trends from the last 10 years for you. Use them to find the best horses to follow right now the 2022 running.

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2022 Trends
Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2022 Trends

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Need some help finding the winner of the 2022 edition of the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last t10renewals in order to help you find the winner of this Grade 1 contest, which is otherwise known as the Spa Novices’ Hurdle.

2022 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had run at least four times in the last 12 months
  • Had at least placed in a Grade 2 or Grade 3 hurdle
  • Had not won a Grade 1 hurdle race before
  • Had won if that had run at Cheltenham before
  • Last ran at least 27 days ago, but no more than 78

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won a race with a distance of at least 2m7f (exception Vanilier)
  • Finished in the first three last time out (exception Vanilier) - five winning
  • Had run in a hurdle race with a distance of at least 2m7f - seven winning
  • Had won on a course described as galloping
  • Were aged six or older

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Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The Grade 2 Classic Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham has produced one winners (At Fishers Cross) and three placed finishers in the past 10 years. North Lodge won this in 2022.
  • The Grade 2 Prestige Novices' Hurdle at Haydock has thrown out one winner (Brindisi Breeze) and no placed horses in the last 10 years. The 2022 running is on February 19.
  • Traditionally, the 2m4f Grade 2 at Leopardstown was a good trial, with two winners in the past 12 years, but that has been replaced by a 2m6f Grade 1. So far this race has produced two seconds and one winner in Vanilier. The 2022 edition was won by Minella Cocooner .
  • Though popular, the Grade 2 Leamington Novices' Hurdle at Warwick has only produced thre placed finishers in the last 11 years, including Oscar Elite last year. Stag Horn won this trial in 2022.

Trainer Trends

  • Gordon Elliott is due a change of fortune in this race having had four well-fancied horses hitting the frame in recent years. No doubt he will break his duck soon.
  • Willie Mullins bagged his second Albert Bartlett with Monkfish in 2020 but he has fired an awful lot of darts at this race in the past decade.
  • Nicky Henderson has struck once, as has Colin Tizzard and Harry Fry in recent years, but Irish trainers have been the ones to follow since 2014, winning six of the last eight editions.
  • Colin Tizzard is perhaps the best trainer to follow, he's 1/10, with two placed horses too, but if you had bet £1 on all his runners, you'd now be up £23.

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Jockey Trends

  • Paul Townend is the only current jockey to have won the Albert Bartlett more than once.

How did the trends do last year?

Vanilier surprisingly did fit many of the key trends, having run over hurdles in a race over 2m7f, placing in a Grade 2 hurdle race, and lining up after running in the Grade 1 2m6f hurdle at Leopardstown.

Being trained by Gavin Cromwell in ireland was another position, as was his Naas maiden hurdle win on a galloping, left-handed track. However, he was beaten 59 lengths into 10th on his Grade 1 debut at Leopardstown so was hard to fancy.

He won by 11 lengths.

Interestingly, none of the first four finishers had won last time out, and only one had placed.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2022?

The five horses that the trends currenting fit best are Leopardstown runner-up Minella Crooner and the third Hollow Games, 3m Grade 3 winner Churchstonewarrior, and Grade 2 winners Erix Bloodaxe and Mahler Mission.

Minella Crooner and Hollow Games, trained by Gordon Elliott is shortest in the Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle ante-post betting.

It would be remiss not to mention Leopardstown winner Minella Cocooner, who clearly benefitted from a first-time hood to win his first Grade 1 when beating Minella Crooner and Hollow Games.

However, no Grade 1 winner has ever won this race. It seems an odd trend, but probably occurs because there are not enough Grade 1 novices' hurdle races run over 2m6f or further.


2021 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stVanielier14/1Gavin CromwellMark Walsh
2ndOscar Elite40/1Colin TizzardJonjo O'Neill Jr
3rdStreets Of Doyen10/1John McConnellSimon Torrens

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