Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2021 Trends

Not all trends for Cheltenham Festival novices' hurdles are equal, so we've worked out the most important Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle trends from the last 10 years for you. Use them to find the best horses to follow right now the 2021 running.

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle 2021 Trends

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Need some help finding the winner of the 2021 edition of the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last ten renewals in order to help you find the winner of this Grade 1 contest, which is otherwise known as the Spa Novices’ Hurdle.

2021 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Finished in the first four last time out
  • Had run at least four times in the last 12 months
  • Had placed in a Grade 2 or Grade 3 hurdle
  • Had finished no worse than third, if that had run at Cheltenham
  • Last ran at least 26 days ago, but no more than 78

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Finished in the first three last time out - five winning
  • Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 hurdle
  • Had run in a hurdle race with a distance of at least 2m7f - seven winning
  • Had won on a course described as galloping
  • Had run at least three times that season, most running a lot more
  • Were aged six or older

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won at least two hurdle races
  • Had an official rating of 140 or higher
  • Were aged 6-7

Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The Grade 2 Classic Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham has produced two winners (At Fishers Cross and Bobs Worth) and three placed finishers in the past nine years. Harry Senior won this in 2020.
  • The Grade 2 Prestige Novices' Hurdle at Haydock has thrown out one winner (Brindisi Breeze) and two placed finihers in the past 10 years. The 2020 running is on February 15.
  • Traditionally, the 2m4f Grade 2 at Leopardstown was a good trial, with two winners in the past 11 years, but that has been replaced by a 2m6f Grade 1. 2019 winner Commander Of The Fleet went on to be second in the Albert Bartlett. The 2020 was taken by Latest Exhibition.
  • Though popular, the Grade 2 Leamington Novices' Hurdle at Warwick has only produced two placed finishers in the last 10 years. Mossy Fen won this trial in 2020.

Trainer Trends

  • Gordon Elliott is due a change of fortune in this race having had four well-fancied horses hitting the frame in recent years. No doubt he will break his duck soon.
  • Willie Mullins bagged his second Albert Bartlett with Monkfish in 2020 but he has fired an awful lot of darts at this race in the past decade.
  • Nicky Henderson has struck once, as has Colin Tizzard and Harry Fry in recent years, but Irish trainers have been the ones to follow since 2014, winning five of the last seven editions.
  • Colin Tizzard is perhaps the best trainer to follow, he's 1/10, with one placed horse too, but if you had bet £1 on all his runners, you'd now be up £24.

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Jockey Trends

  • Paul Townend is the only current jockey to have won the Albert Bartlett more than once.

How did the trends do last year?

Monkfish went into the 2020 Cheltenham Festival having won his last two hurdle contests but neither had come in graded company which is something that many of his predecessors had done.

Monkish, representing powerful connections (albeit ones that didn’t have a particularly strong record in this contest), went into the Albert Bartlett with a rating of 152 which is above average for winners of this contest and it made him the highest-rated runner in the line-up.

The race had thrown up a double-figure priced winner every year between 2014 and 2019 so Monkfish, sent off a 5/1 chance on the day, bucked that trend.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

2021 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle ante-post lists are dominated by horses that ran in the Grade 1 2m6f novices’ hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival and that looks a key form line.

Gentlemansgame, second in that contest, was having just his second start over hurdles and a lack of racing experience might just be an issue for him.

Stattler (3rd) finished a couple of lengths in front of Fakiera (4th) but the latter looks all about stamina and he could easily reverse that form over the stiffer test of the Albert Bartlett, in which case he would have a fine chance of giving Gordon Elliott his first success in the race.

Adrimel looks one of the principal home challengers after winning the Grade 2 Leamington Novices’ Hurdle at Warwick (although that race hasn’t had much of a bearing on the festival contest in recent years) and he’s been pushed up to a mark of 142 on the back of that, which puts the 6-year-old firmly in the mix.


2020 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stMonkfish5/1W P MullinsPaul Townend
2ndLatest Exhibition9/2Paul NolanB J Cooper
3rdFury Road5/1Gordon ElliottDavy Russell

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

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Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

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Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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