Arkle Novices' Chase 2022 Trends

Our horse racing experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have taken a look at the key trends from the last 10 years which will help you find the best horse to follow in the 2022 renewal of the Arkle Novices' Chase.

16th January 2022 | By: Jessica Lamb

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Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase 2022 Trends

Need some help finding the winner of the 2022 edition of the Arkle Chase? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last 10 renewals in order to help you find the winner of the two-mile Grade 1 novice event.

The last 10 winners:

Won on their last start
Won at least once over fences (seven were unbeaten)
Aged six or seven years old.
Had won previously under the same rider
Winning chase form on a left-handed track.

Nine of the last 10 winners:

Were Irish or French-bred.
Won or placed in a Grade 2 race or better
Had only four or less starts over fences (exception Put The Kettle on 2020).
Had at least one previous run at Cheltenham, while five of the last 10 winners had already won at the course.

Key Arkle Chase Trials from the last 10 years

The Irish Arkle, run in early February, is a key trial with three winners (all trained by Willie Mullins) and three places coming from the race in the last 10 years. Energumeme won the Irish Arkle in 2021 but skipped Cheltenham to win at Punchestown in April. Runner-up Franco Du Port finished last in the Arkle at 8/1.
2020 Arkle winner Put The Kettle On won the Grade 2 Racing Post Arkle Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase at Cheltenham in November 2019 but didn’t run again until the festival in March. Eldorado Allen won the same race in 2020 and finished second in last year's Arkle at 33/1. It was won by Third Time Lucki in 2021.
The Wayward Lad Novices' Chase has thrown up two winners in the last 10 years (Dodging Bullets in 2013 and Shishkin in 2021). This season’s edition of the race was won by Edwardstone.
The Game Spirit Chase has thrown up two winners, with the brilliant Sprinter Sacre among the roll of honour.

Edwardstone wins again over fences 👏

🏆 G1 Henry VIII Novices' Chase
🏆 G2 Wayward Lad Novices' Chase

The likeable Edwardstone quickens up in fine style to score for Alan King & @tomcannon2 at @kemptonparkrace pic.twitter.com/gh3nJQgdd6
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) December 27, 2021

Trainer Trends

With eight winners between them in the last 10 years, Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson have dominated recent Arkle Chases and the trend has every chance of continuing given Mullins is responsible for red-hot market leader Ferny Hollow.
David Pipe and Henry de Bromhead are the other trainers to have won the race in the last 10 years.
Keep an eye on anything that could potentially head for the Arkle that is trained by Joseph O’Brien. He saddled the Arkle Chase runner-up in 2019 and 2020.

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Jockey Trends

Legendary riders Barry Geraghty and Ruby Walsh have dominated this race since 2012 but both are now retired.
Nico de Boinville has a fine record with two winners and two places from just four Arkle outings.
Aidan Coleman has a win (Put The Kettle On) and a place from just five Arkle rides.

How did the trends do last year?

The Nicky Henderson-trained Shishkin didn't put a foot wrong all season, fitting the bill age and runs wise, and boasting two Grade 2 wins, as well as being the 2020 Supreme Novices' Hurdle winner. He was clearly head and shoulders above his four rivals and justified 4-9 favouritism to win easily by 12 lengths. Now he's favourite for a Festival hat-trick in the 2022 Champion Chase.

🏆 Cheltenham to Cheltenham 🏆

✨Shishkin✨winning the Gr1 Arkle Novices’ Chase as easy as he likes today for @sevenbarrows and Mrs J. Donnelly.#TattsCheltenham Graduate 🎓pic.twitter.com/PqoZmddYls
— Tattersalls Cheltenham (@tattscheltenham) March 16, 2021

Who Fits The Trends Best In 2022?

Ante-post Arkle Chase betting revolves around 2020 Champion Bumper hero Ferny Hollow, who looks impressive on paper but is not a straightforward ride and needs more experience over fences.

The Dublin Racing Festival at Leopardstown in February will be crunch time for Willie Mullins's favourite - and his current second-string Blue Lord, who is also unbeaten over fences and fits the bill on trends.

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2021 Arkle Novices' Chase Result

Position	Name	Price	Trainer	Jockey
1st	Shishkin	4/9f	Nicky Henderson	Nico De Boinville
2nd	Eldorado Allen	33/1	Colin Tizzard	Harry Cobden
3rd	Captain Guinness	10/1	Henry De Bromhead	Rachael Blackmore