Ballymore Novices' Hurdle 2022 Trends

Need some help finding the winner of the 2022 edition of the Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last 10 renewals in order to help you find the winner of this hot novice contest that is formerly known as the Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle.

Ballymore Novices' Hurdle 2022 Trends
Ballymore Novices' Hurdle 2022 Trends

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2022 Ballymore Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had won 1-3 hurdle races
  • Had won on a left-handed course
  • Had at least two wins on a galloping track
  • Finished in the top two last time out
  • Had run at least twice over hurdles
  • Last ran at least 31 days ago
  • Had won a bumper.

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Won last time out (or were beaten by no more than a neck)
  • Had won over at least 2m4f
  • Had won at least two hurdle races
  • Had not been beaten more than once over hurdles
  • Were aged six years old
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Key Trials from the last 10 years

  • The winner of Leopardstown's Grade 1 Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle in February tends to run in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle, but 2018 winner Samcro followed up here and in 2015 the winner placed. Seconds won in 2015 and finished second in 2020.
  • The winner of the Grade 1 Slaney Novice Hurdle at Naas in January has won the last two Ballymore Novices' Hurdles - Envoi Allen and Bob Olinger. The winner placed in 2018, 2013 and 2012.
  • The Grade 2 Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle at Haydock has proven a key trial in Britain with winners of this race placing in the Ballymore in 2016 and 2017 and a Rossington second placing in 2019.
  • The Grade 2 Leamington Novices' Hurdle at Warwick is also worth watching as Willoughby Court and The New One won this en route to Ballymore victory. Horses who didn't win this race don't tend to feature in the Ballymore, so only add the winner to your notebook.
  • The Grade 2 Classic Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham's Festival Trials day in January used to be a good guide with the horses that placed and won that event going on to win one Ballymore and place in three. However, none since 2018.
  • Two Grade 1 Challow Novices' Hurdle winners have been placed in the last 10 renewals (Bravemansgame, Messire Des Obeaux, Parlour Games).

Watch the #Racehour Ballymore Novices' Hurdle Preview

Trainer Trends

  • Willie Mullins is the winning-most trainer with four wins in total, two of which have come in the last decade. He’s also saddled eight placed horses in that time, most recently Gaillard Du Mesnil who was second in 2021.
  • Gordon Elliott has won two of the last four renewals and saddled the one-two in 2020.
  • Nicky Henderson has a poor record with one winner and one placed horse from 11 runners in the past 10 years.
  • Paul Nichollshas had two runners in the last 11 years and both placed.
  • Dermot Weld has the best win percentage in this race, standing at 33% with one win (Windsor Park in 2015) from just three runners.
  • Seven of the last 10 winners were trained in Ireland.

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Jockey Trends

  • Given the strong recent records of Irish powerhouses Mullins and Elliott, it goes without saying that close attention needs to be paid to their respective riders, especially when they have a choice of mounts in the race.
  • Davy Russell has won the race three times, most recently on Envoi Allen in 2020.

How did the trends do last year?

Bob Olinger's six and a half length win in key trial the Grade 1 Slaney Novice Hurdle marked him out as the one to beat. That win gave him a second on a galloping track, and a second over 2m4f. He'd also won a bumper and had only been beaten once over hurdles, when finished second on debut.

Additionally, he'd been off the track for 63 days, making him as fresh as the trends show you need to be for this stamina test. Second Gaillard Du Mesnil was no doubt talented having won a Grade 1 at Leopardstown.

He'd also won two of his three hurdle outings, including over 2m4f, but he was only five so Bob Olinger shaded the trends pick. Third Bravemansgame was the Challow Novices' Hurdle winner and had to be respected. Neither the Rossington Main nor Leamington Novices' Hurdle winners lined up.


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Who Fits The Trends Best In 2022?

2022 Slaney Novice Hurdle winner Ginto, trained by Gordon Elliott, is the key trends pick at this early stage. He's aged six and unbeaten in three hurdle outings, all over 2m4f on galloping, left-handed courses, and additionally boasts a bumper win. He really fits the profile.

Challow Novice' Hurdle winner Stage Star is the best of the British cohort. The six-year-old, trained by Paul Nicholls, is unbeaten in three hurdle outings on left-handed, galloping tracks, and is also a bumper winner. It would be a negative to seem him take up his Betfair Hurdle entry in February.

The Leamington Novices Hurdle winner Stag Horn is aged five and the Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle winner Jonbon is Supreme Novices' Hurdle bound.

Supreme-bound Sir Gerhard was an impressive winner of the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown. The only runner in the race to have raced in a hurdle over more than 2m was Willie Mullins-trained stablemate Statuaire, who has won over 2m2f and 2m4f.

2021 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stBob Olinger6/4fHenry De BromheadRachael Blackmore
2ndGaillard Du Mesnil9/4Willie MullinsPaul Townend
3rdBravemansgame4/1Paul NichollsHarry Cobden

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