Cheltenham Champion Bumper 2022 Trends

Need some help finding the winner of the 2022 edition of the Cheltenham Champion Bumper? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last 10 renewals in order to help you find the winner of this ultra-competitive National Hunt Flat race.

Cheltenham Champion Bumper 2022 Trends
Cheltenham Champion Bumper 2022 Trends

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2022 Cheltenham Champion Bumper Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Won last time out - that includes all bar three placed finishers
  • If they had run at Cheltenham before, they had won
  • Had run on both left-handed and right-handed tracks
  • Had finished in the first three on a left-handed track
  • Had run in at least two bumpers

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Last ran at least 32 days ago
  • Had never finished out of the first three
  • Had won on a track described as 'galloping' or 'undulating'

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won at least two bumpers
  • Were trained in Ireland. Horses trained in Ireland have won 21 of this race's 29 renewals.

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Key Trials in the last 10 years

The Cheltenham Champion Bumper winner can come from anywhere at all, as long as they are good enough, so keep an eye on all decent bumpers run in January and February on left-handed, testing courses; particularly Leopardstown, Cheltenham, and Newbury, but also right-handed tracks Ascot and Fairyhouse.

One race to watch out for in particular is the Listed bumper at Navan in December as Gordon Elliott trained the winner of that in 2019 and 2020 and both went on to win the follow year's Champion Bumper.

Elliott also won the race in 2015, 2016 and 2017 and saddled the runner-up in 2019. His 2016 winner was the mighty Samcro.


Trainer Trends

  • Willie Mullins has won 11 Champion Bumpers and in the last 10 years has additionally saddled nine placed horses from 35 runners. In 2020 and 2021 he saddled the first two, home and he had the second in 2019 and the first three in 2018.
  • Gordon Elliott is becoming a big player too. From nine runners, he's saddled two winners and a third.
  • Irish trainers have a tremendous record in this race on the whole, winning 15 of the last 20 renewals and 21 overall in the race's 29-year history.

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Jockey Trends

  • Amateur riders based in Ireland have won five of the last 10 editions.
  • Jamie Codd has only had three rides in the race, all for Gordon Elliott, but it has yielded two wins and a third in 2020, so that is a combination to keep a very close eye on.

How did the trends do last year?

The Willie Mullins-trained Sir Gerhard was a good trends pick having gone unbeaten in two bumpers at testing tracks.

He'd won left-handing and right-handed and in Listed company, but was not the stable's first with a question mark over race fitness having not run since December.

Second Kilcruit from the same stable was the 11/10 favourite because he'd impressed when winning a Grade 2 bumper at Leopardstown last time out, and when winning at Navan in December. He'd also run on a right-handed course.

Nine in the 14-runner field had won last time out, including the first six finishers. Seven had won the recommended two bumpers, including the first three finishers, the fifth, sixth, ninth and 11th. Additionally, the first six home had won on left-handed course described as 'galloping' and/or 'undulating'

This shows how strong those three trends notes are.


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Who Fits The Trends Best In 2022?

Given the history of this race, it will probably pay to focus on the more prominent bumper performers from Ireland, or more specifically from the Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott stables.

Top of the list at this stage for Elliott is the unbeaten American Mike. He's won left-handed and right-handed at testing tracks, and has taken an identical route to last year's winner Sir Gerhard - and a very similar route to 2019 winner Envoi Allen.

In terms of Mullins's hopes, Facile Vega, whose dam is the six-time Cheltenham Festival winner Quevega, has now won twice on left-handed, testing tracks, landing the Grade 2 bumper at Leopardstown's Dublin Racing Festival by 12 lengths.

Other two-time bumper winners that have won on left-handed testing tracks are The Big Doyen, and The Model Kingdom.

The leading British-trained hope on trends is Timeforatune, who is unbeaten in three bumper runs, including racing left-handed and right-handed and at Cheltenham in November. The catch is that he hasn't run since November, which is a big negative.

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2020 Cheltenham Champion Bumper Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stSir Gerhard85/40Willie MullinsRachael Blackmore
2ndKilcruit10/11fWillie MullinsPaul Townend
3rdElle Est Belle16/1Dan SkeltonHarry Skelton

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