Cheltenham Cross Country Chase 2021 Trends

Need some help finding the winner of the 2021 edition of the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last ten renewals in order to help you find the winner of this unique contest.

Cheltenham Cross Country Chase 2021 Trends
Cheltenham Cross Country Chase 2021 Trends

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2021 Cheltenham Cross Country Chase Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Four runs over the previous year
  • At least seven runs over fences
  • Last win came over 2m5f+
  • At lease one chase win
  • 10-year-old or younger

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Rated 140+
  • Last run was within the last 30 days
  • Competed over 3m4f or further - six winning over that distance
  • Previously ran at Cheltenham
  • Finished in the top five in at least one of their last three starts

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Were NOT sent off favourite on the day but were 7/1 or shorter
  • Run in at least 13 chases
  • Had run in at least one Cheltenham cross country race before
  • Placed in the top five in a previous cross country (or banks)

Key Trials from the last 10 years

  • The Grade 2 Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase in December has thrown up three winners in the last ten years (Tiger Roll, Josies Orders & Balthazar King). This season’s edition was won by Irish raider Some Neck.
  • The Grade 2 Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase in November has also thrown up three winners in the last decade (Tiger Roll, Cause Of Causes and Balthazar King).
  • Big Shu (2012 winner) won the P P Hogan Cross Country Chase before his Cheltenham Cross Country victory.
  • 2020 winner Easysland, the first French-trained winner of the race, won a valuable Listed chase at Pau on his final start before the festival but he gave British racegoers a taste of what was to come by winning Cheltenham’s December Cross Country Chase by seven lengths prior to that.

Trainer Trends

  • Gordon Elliott has three wins from 11 runs, with Tiger Roll largely to thanks for his impressive strike rate.
  • Philip Hobbs has also had some success here with two wins (Balthazar King both times) from 10 runners.
  • Enda Bolger is the leading overall trainer in this contest having won it five times, although only one of those victories came in the last decade.

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Jockey Trends

  • Keith Donoghue has won two of the last three renewals of this race on board Tiger Roll. The winning run came to an end in 2020.
  • Richard Johnson has two Cheltenham Cross Country wins under his belt when he rode Balthazar King to success in 2012 and 2014.

How did the trends do last year?

Easysland was a big runner on many of the trends and couldn’t have won any more impressively. He had run in the right number of races, already had winning form around Cheltenham’s Cross-Country course and was a guaranteed stayer. He was also strong in the market on the day, behind hot favourite Tiger Roll.

However, there were two angles which may have put punters off. Firstly, he was trained in France, which had not been the case for any previous winner of the race. They had, however, had three placed-horses and Easysland’s performance in the December Cross Country Chase was a clear signal that he was a prime candidate for a festival follow-up.

Secondly, he was only a 6-year-old. No horse of that age had ever won the race, indeed no horse younger than seven had done so.


Check out latest Cheltenham ante post odds.

Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

Easysland heads ante-post lists and could easily be the type to run up a sequence in this race, although favourites don’t have a brilliant record in the last decade and he was well below par at the November meeting.

Tiger Roll is an 11-year-old now so would be too old, as is Potters Corner, so the it may pay to focus on Some Neck, this season’s winner of the December Cross Country race at Cheltenham.

That was his first experience of Cheltenham’s unique circuit and he acclimatised well, giving weight away to the placed horses. This 10-year-old, trained in Ireland by John McConnell, fits the bill from most of the main trends angles despite being a general 20/1 chance in Cross Country Chase ante-post lists at the time of writing.

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2020 Cheltenham Cross Country Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stEasysland3/1Jonathan PlouganouD Cottin
2ndTiger Roll8/11fGordon ElliottKeith Donoghue
3rdOut Sam33/1Gordon ElliottMr J J Codd

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

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