Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle 2020 Trends
As with the majority of Cheltenham Festival races, there are certain trends that can help punters to find the winner. Our horse racing experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have taken a look at the most important pointers from the last 12 years which will help you find the best horse to follow in the 2020 renewal of the Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle.
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2020 Cheltenham Mares' Hurdle Trends
The last 12 winners:
- Were not bred in Britain
- Had won within their last 3 runs
- At least 4 starts over hurdles
- At least 2 wins over hurdles
11 of the last 12 winners:
- Rated 147 or higher.
- Had won over 2 miles & 4 furlongs before.
- At least two wins on a galloping track.
- Top 4 in the betting
10 of the last 12 winners:
- Trained in Ireland
- Won at a left handed track
- Won, or lost by less than four lengths, last time out
9 of the last 12 winners:
- Trained in Ireland
- Were French Bred (Skewed by Quevega)
- Won last time out
Last 5 winners were:
- aged between 5 & 7
- 2 wins at least over hurdles
- Had never won at Cheltenham before
Key Trials from the last 10 years
- The Warwick Mares' Hurdle has thrown up 1 winner and 4 places in the kast 10 years.
- The Warfield Mares’ Hurdle at Ascot has thrown up one winner in the last 10 years (Vroum Vroum Mag). Magic Of Light won this race in 2020.
- The Quevega Mares Hurdle at Punchestown was used as a springboard for Apples Jade to go on to win the 2017 Mares' Hurdle.
🗣️“When I saw her coming up the straight today, I thought that had stayers’ written all over it."@WillieMullinsNH was full of praise for Benie Des Dieux after her Galmoy Hurdle victory @GowranPark1 today 🐎 Watch what he had to say in our report ⬇️https://t.co/qAzUxCfWfQpic.twitter.com/cBQpIBLfKD
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) January 23, 2020
Trainer Trends
- Willie Mullins has dominated this race over it's 12 years. He's had 9 winners and 14 places. 2019 should have been his 10th winner albeit Benie Des Dieux came down at the last.
- Dan Skelton, Gordon Elliott & Donald McCain have trained the other 3 winners.
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Jockey Trends
- Ruby Walsh rode 8 winners in the last 10 years so he was obviously worth following before his retirement. All 8 of these winners were for Willie Mullins, so with Paul Townend taking over that position, he looks the man to follow.
- Harry Skelton is another jockey worth noting with 1 winner and 1 place from 4 rides in the race.
How did the trends do last year?
2019 was not a great year for trends followers. Roksana became the first horse trained in Britain to win the race since Whiteoak won the first renewal back in 2008 for Donald McCain JR.
Saying that, Mullins saddled the second and third - his odds-on favourite falling at the last when sure to win.
It's 2015 and Annie Power all over again! Roksana wins the Mares' Hurdle after Benie Des Dieux falls at the last with the race at her mercy. The Willie Mullins mare is on her feet #CheltenhamFestival#TheFestivalpic.twitter.com/S14dZrRCcW
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) March 12, 2019
Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?
At the moment Honeysuckle actually fits the trends best. She has not won at the track before and is the right age. However, not being trained by Willie Mullins is a major negative against her. Benie Des Dieux also ticks a lot of boxes
There is plenty of time to go however, will anyone else come out of the woodwork?
2019 Mares' Hurdle Result
| Position | Name | Price | Trainer | Jockey |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Roksana | 10/1 | Dan Skelton | Harry Skelton |
| 2nd | Stormy Ireland | 7/1 | WP Mullins | Paul Townend |
| 3rd | Good Thyne Tara | 25/1 | WP Mullins | Rachael Blackmore |
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