County Hurdle 2022 Trends

Race trends are the best place to start when looking for the winner of a tricky Cheltenham Festival handicap. So we've taken a look at the most important County Hurdle trends from the last 10 years, and used them to find you the best horses to follow right now for the fascinating 2022 running.

County Hurdle 2022 Trends
County Hurdle 2022 Trends

The 2022 Cheltenham Festival content is brought to you in association with FansBet!

Your best bet for the festival. Sign up below!


T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. 18+ BeGambleAware.org


Need some help finding the winner of the 2022 edition of the Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last 10 renewals in order to help you find the winner of this cavalry charge.

The last 10 winners:

  • Had won no more than four hurdle races
  • Had won no more than two handicap hurdles, five winning none
  • Had won a hurdle race with a distance of 2m-2m1f
  • Had an average official rating of 138, with only two rated more than 139
  • Were aged 5-8

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Carried 11st 5lbs or less
  • Had won at least two hurdle races
  • Had run no more than four times that season (six had won)
  • Were not favourite in the betting
  • Had run in at least one handicap hurdle
  • Last made the top three no more than three runs ago
  • Had never won at Cheltenham before
  • Had never won at Grade 1 race before


Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The main trial over the past 20 years has been the Betfair Hurdle with four County Hurdle winners coming from there.
  • Another to watch is the Grade 3 Imperial Cup at Sandown, the last Graded run of 2015 winner Whiskey Sour, and Arctic Fire, before placing in 2014.
  • Traditionally, the Grade B Ladbrokes Hurdle at Leopardstown was a terrific County Hurdle trial, producing three winners from 2010-2013, but it hasn't done well since then.

Trainer Trends

  • The last 12 winners were either trained either in Ireland or in Britain by Paul Nicholls or Dan Skelton. Skelton has only saddled nine runners, but has saddled three of the last six winners, giving him a tremendous 33% strike-rate.
  • Willie Mullins has been responsible for five of the last 12 winners and he even had the 1-2 for good measure in 2020.

Offer for new customers who register via Mobile; Place first £10 bet on sports with 3 legs at odds of 1.3 or greater per leg; Free Bet credited after the qualifying bet has settled; Free Multiple Bet must contain 3 legs at odds of 1.3 or greater per leg; Free Bet stakes not returned; No wagering requirements on winnings; £100 max win; T&C’s apply; 18+


Jockey Trends

  • With trainer Dan Skelton doing so well, it's not surprising brother Harry Skelton has ridden two winners (Bridget Andrews rode the other Skelton-trained winner).
  • Paul Townend, now first jockey to Willie Mullins, has ridden two winners as well.

How did the trends do last year?

Belfast Banter was an unusual winner in that he had run more than twice as much that season than any other winner in the last 12 years. He had run 10 times, when every other winner in that preiod had run no more than four times. Generally only twice.

His official handicap rating of 129 was also at least 5lbs lower than any of the last 12 winner, with most having a rating of around 138.

It was a plus that he was trained in Ireland by Peter Fahey, and that he had only run in one handicap hurdle before. It was also a plus that he hadn't won that handicap hurdle, leaving him suitably unexposed, but he still would not have been top of the trends picks.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2022?

This handicap hurdle is notoriously tricky, but here are a few that fit the bill on trends and are worth taking a closer look at.

Peter Fahey, who trained last year's winner, could saddle Surprise Package, who finished 9th last time out at Leopardstown in a valuable handicap hurdle that has been a good trial in the past. He has never won a handicap before and has only won one hurdle race. He's also rated 135.

The Dan Skelton-trained West Cork is ideally rated at 141 and has won only three hurdle races, including one decent handicap. He's also been placed at Grade 2 level and would arrive fresh, having not run since December.


Check out latest Cheltenham ante post odds.


2021 County Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stBelfast Banter33/1Peter FaheyKevin Sexton
2ndPetit Mouchoir22/1Denise FosterJordan Gainsford
3rdMilkwood28/1Neil MulhollandRobert Dunne
4thEclair De Beaufeu11/1Denise FosterJack Kennedy

Cheltenham Festival 2022 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


Offer for new customers who register via Mobile; Place first £10 bet on sports with 3 legs at odds of 1.3 or greater per leg; Free Bet credited after the qualifying bet has settled; Free Multiple Bet must contain 3 legs at odds of 1.3 or greater per leg; Free Bet stakes not returned; No wagering requirements on winnings; £100 max win; T&C’s apply; 18+