The Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase 2021 Trends

The trends of a race can be really useful to follow when looking for winners at the Cheltenham Festival, especially in tricky handicap chases. So we've taken a look at the most important Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase trends from the last 10 years for you, and used them to find you the best horses to follow right now for the 2021 Festival Plate.

The Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase 2021 Trends

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Need some help finding the winner of the 2021 edition of the The Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last ten renewals in order to help you find the winner of this hotly-contested handicap.

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2021 Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had won no more than five chases
  • Had won no more than five chases
  • Were running off a career-high handicap rating - or no more than 3lbs lower
  • Finished first or second in at least one of their last three races
  • Last ran in a novice chase or handicap chase
  • Had won on a course described as galloping

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Carried at least 5lbs less than the top weight
  • Had won no more than two handicap chases, three winning none
  • Finished in the first two last time out
  • Had won over fences in a race at least 2m3f long

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Last ran no more than 70 days ago
  • Had won over fences on a left-handed track
  • Had never won at Cheltenham before
  • Were carrying less than 11st

Key Trials from the last 10 years

With Cheltenham's handicaps, it's often better to look down the field in the popular trials, rather than at the winner, but we've given you the winners below as a guide.

  • The 2019 winner Siruh Du Lac used what is now the Grade 3 Paddy Power Trophy Handicap Chase at Cheltenham as a springboard to Festival Plate success. The 2019 second Janika also ran in that race, along with three other placed finishers in the last 10 years. Cepage won the 2020 renewal.
  • The BetVictor Gold Cup at Cheltenham has also proven a useful trial, with one winner (Ballynagour) and four placed finishers in the past 10 years.
  • Any Grade 3 handicap chase at Cheltenham run over 2m4f-2m5f - just like the ones above - is a great trial for this race. Another to watch is the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup with one winner and five placed finishers in 10 years.

Trainer Trends

  • Nicky Henderson has won this race four times and leads the way among those still operating. However, the last of those came in 2006.
  • David Pipe has followed in his father’s footsteps by building a strong record in this contest, winning it three times since 2010, which leaves him just one shy of his father. David Pipe has also saddled four placed horses, most recently Eamon An Cnoic who was 4th in 2019.
  • Gordon Elliott has only had a handful of runners in the race but he’s registered a winner, a place and a fifth in 2020.

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Jockey Trends

  • Bryan Cooper and Tom Scudamore have both won the race twice in the last decade.
  • Cooper’s victories have come in the last five editions and on both occasions, he was carrying the colours of major owners Gigginstown House Stud.
  • Scudamore was aboard two of David Pipe’s three winners, the last of which came in 2014.
  • Richard Johnson’s two wins in the race came in 2000 and 2003.

How did the trends do last year?

Having one a red-hot handicap chase over the same course and distance on his last start, Simply The Betts brought a rock-solid profile into the race despite the burden of a 9lb higher mark. That strong course form proved crucial and he toughed it out up the hill to see off the admirable mare Happy Diva.

The market didn’t miss the winner but his form chance had been boost by Imperial Aura, who he beat in January, winning a hot handicap earlier in the week.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

Ante-post lists for the 2021 edition of this race are dominated by three J P McManus-owned horses – Dickie Diver, Chantry House (both trained by Nicky Henderson) and Andy Dufresne (Gordon Elliott).

The last named, for a trainer with a good recent record in this race, looks a progressive chaser who has won both starts this term in eye-catching style. The issue for him is that he’s yet to win a chase over further than 2m1f, although he has won over a hurdles race over 2m4f, so stamina shouldn’t be an issue. If he runs, he is highly likely to be carrying more than 11st given his rating.

Chantry House was third behind Shishkin in the 2020 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle so is a classy recruit to chasing but he fluffed his lines badly back at Prestbury Park in December and bounced back in pressive style at Wetherby recently

Dickie Diver, fourth in last year’s Albert Bartlett, is completely unexposed over fences but he failed to win his only chase start so lacks experience at this stage. He also has the option of going up in trip for the National Hunt Chase.

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2020 Paddy Power Plate Handicap Chase Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stSimply The Betts10/3Harry WhittingtonGavin Sheehan
2ndHappy Diva20/1Kerry LeeRichard Fitzpatrick
3rdMister Whitaker22/1Mick ChannonA P Heskin

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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    In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering.