Cheltenham Gold Cup 2021 Trends

Finding the winner of the Cheltenham Gold Cup is not easy, but trends can seriously help! We've worked out the most important Gold Cup trends from the last 10 years for you, and used them to find the best horses to follow right now for the 2021 running of this famous chase.

Cheltenham Gold Cup 2021 Trends

The 2021 Cheltenham Festival content is brought to you in association with tonybet!

Your best bet for the festival. Sign up below!


Min deposit £/€/$10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/€/$10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets are credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes are not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days, wins are capped at £/€/$500 • To withdraw bonus/related wins, you must wager the bonus amount up to 40 times its value within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days • Casino Bonus can be used on selected games in casino only • Restrictions apply to withdrawals, payment methods & countries & full T&Cs apply


If you want to watch the full #racehour 2021 Cheltenham Festival Preview - click here!


Need some help finding the winner of the 2021 edition of the WellChild Cheltenham Gold Cup? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last ten renewals in order to help you find the winner of the festival’s blue-riband contest.

2021 Cheltenham Gold Cup Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Were aged no older than nine
  • Had run at Cheltenham before
  • Had won at least two chases
  • Had won a Grade 1 before
  • Had won on a left-handed track
  • Won last time out - or last won at the last Cheltenham Festival
  • Had not run for at least 33 days before the Gold Cup

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Had run in at least five chases before
  • Had won over at least 3m before
  • Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 chase
  • Were officially rated 164 or higher
  • Did not wear any headgear in the race

The last five winners:

  • Won last time out
  • Had won at least three chases
  • Had run no more than four times that season

Click Here For Cheltenham Betting Offers


Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The Grade 1 Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown has produced two of the last eight winners (Sixing John & Lord Windermere) and three placed horses.
  • The Grade 2 Denman Chase at Newbury has produced two of the last five winners (Native River & Coneygree) and has thrown out four placed runners in 10 years.
  • Traditionally, the Grade 1 King George VI Chase has been a good trial, but it's last winner was Long Run in 2011. Three runners have been placed since.
  • The Grade 2 Cotswold Chase at Cheltenham has only produced two placed horses in the past 10 years.
  • Al Boum Photo has been kept to calmer waters away from the festival. His warm-up race in 2019 and 2020 was the Grade 3 Savills Chase at Tramore on New Year’s Day.

Trainer Trends

  • Nicky Henderson is the man to follow in the Gold Cup in the last 10 years. He's saddled two winners and four placed horses from just 10 runners. Champ is his big hope in 2021.
  • No modern trainer has saddled more winners than Paul Nicholls. His last winner was 2009, but he's had placed horses since and remains worth following. Frodon will fly the flag for team Nicholls in 2021.
  • Willie Mullins’ supporters were in danger of going broke following his Gold Cup runners in the last decade but Al Boum Photo has firmly put the record straight, winning the race in 2019 and 2020.
  • Like in most races, Gordon Elliott has a good record here, with one winner from five runners in the race.
  • Ireland has won four of the last seven runnings.

Min deposit £/€/$10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/€/$10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets are credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes are not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days, wins are capped at £/€/$500 • To withdraw bonus/related wins, you must wager the bonus amount up to 40 times its value within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days • Casino Bonus can be used on selected games in casino only • Restrictions apply to withdrawals, payment methods & countries & full T&Cs apply


#Racehour Cheltenham Festival Preview Night.


Jockey Trends

  • Thanks to Al Boum Photo, Paul Townend is the only current jockey to win the race more than once in recent history.
  • Nico de Boinville won the race on Coneygree in 2015 and very nearly doubled up on the fast-finishing Santini in 2020. Santini will be back for more again this year.
  • Richard Johnson steered Native River to success in 2018 and the pair will be out to repeat the trick once again in 2021.

How did the trends do last year?

Al Boum Photo became the first horse to win the race more than once since Best Mate and the 100/30f was a strong trends chance to do so.

His prep race, the same Tramore contest as he had won the previous year, went swimmingly and he very much fit the bill in every respect age and runs-wise.

Runner-up Santini went into the race having won the Cotswold Chase, a key Gold Cup trial.


Check out latest Cheltenham ante post odds.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

Al Boum Photo bids to emulate the great Best Mate and win three successive Gold Cups and his prospects are there for all to see once again. He came through his Tramore prep with flying colours and he’s still only 9-years-old, so he’s still very much at the peak of his powers.

2020 RSA Chase winner Champ is the dark horse of the race but he’s not been seen since so has, at the time of writing, only run in four chases. That lack of match sharpness could prove a major disadvantage in a race as unforgiving as the Gold Cup.

Santini has his knockers but we know the stiff nature of Cheltenham suits him, as he showed when only beaten a neck in 2020, and this 9-year-old could easily step up markedly on what he’s been doing so far this season, although he will need to.


2020 Cheltenham Gold Cup Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stAl Boum Photo10/3Willie MullinsPaul Townend
2ndSantini5/1Nicky HendersonNico de Boinville
3rdLostintranslation10/1Colin TizzardRobbie Power

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


Min deposit £/€/$10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/€/$10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets are credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes are not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days, wins are capped at £/€/$500 • To withdraw bonus/related wins, you must wager the bonus amount up to 40 times its value within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days • Casino Bonus can be used on selected games in casino only • Restrictions apply to withdrawals, payment methods & countries & full T&Cs apply


Listen to the #racehour podcast!



Min deposit £/€/$10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/€/$10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets are credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes are not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days, wins are capped at £/€/$500 • To withdraw bonus/related wins, you must wager the bonus amount up to 40 times its value within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days • Casino Bonus can be used on selected games in casino only • Restrictions apply to withdrawals, payment methods & countries & full T&Cs apply