Kim Muir Handicap Chase 2021 Trends

Trends are the best place to start when trying to narrow down a tricky Cheltenham Festival handicap field! So we've taken a look at the most important Kim Muir Handicap Chase trends for you, and used them to find you the best horses to follow right now for the 2021 running.

Kim Muir Handicap Chase 2021 Trends

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Need some help finding the winner of the 2021 edition of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last ten renewals in order to help you find the winner of this competitive staying chase for amateur riders.

2021 Kim Muir Handicap Chase Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had won no more than three chases overall
  • Had won no more than two handicap chases, nine winning none
  • Had run in at least five chases overall
  • Less than four starts over the trip
  • Were not French bred
  • Last finished in the first three no more than four runs ago
  • No bigger than 9/1

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Were not older than nine years
  • Carried 11st 4lbs or more
  • Had not run in more than seven handicap chases
  • Wore headgear, a tongue tie, or both in the race
  • Had run between 2-5 times that season
  • Last ran no more than 76 days ago

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Were aged seven or eight
  • Last ran in a handicap
  • Were not sent off favourite on the day. The last favourite to win the race was back in 2012
  • Had run at Cheltenham over fences before
  • Had run in at least two handicap chases

Key Trials in the last 10 years

With Cheltenham's handicaps, it's often better to look down the field in the popular trials, rather than at the winner, but we've given you the winners below as a guide.

  • The Grade B Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown's Christmas Festival has produced three of the last 10 winners (Any Second Now & Spring Heeled) and five placed horses. Roaring Bull won this trial in 2019, beating Fitzhenry.
  • The Grade B Tim Duggan Memorial handicap Chase at Limerick's Christmas Festival has produced one winner (Domesday Book) and one placed finisher. Sumos Novios won that trial in 2019.
  • In 2018 Missed Approach used Warwick's Classic Chase as a springboard to Kim Muir vicory. This had also been contested by 2008 winner High Chimes.The 2020 renewal was won by Kimberlite Candy.
  • 2020 winner Milan Native was stepping up markedly in trip at the festival having stuck to his task into second in a beginners’ chase at Gowran Park the previous month.


Trainer Trends

  • In the last 10 years David Pipe has saddled 24 runners in the Kim Muir, saddling two winners and two placed horses. He loves this race and is always worth following.
  • Gordon Elliott is emerging as a trainer to follow, too. Elliott has landed two of the last five editions as well as four placed horses.
  • Nigel Twiston-Davies' 13 runners have yielded a winner and two placed runners.
  • Nicky Henderson has won the race three times but his last victory came back in 2005.


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Jockey Trends

The really good amateur riders have made hay in this race and it generally pays to keep a close eye on what the likes of Jamie Codd and Derek O’Connor ride.

  • Jamie Codd has won four of the last 11 runnings of the Kim Muir, for three differend trainers. There's no doubt the horse he chooses is to be respected.
  • Codd, in particular, is the winning-most rider with four, most recently in 2016. He’s also ridden five placed-horses in the race, from just 15 rides. O’Connor’s most recent victory came aboard Any Second Now in 2019.

How did the trends do last year?

This race can often go to a horse that hasn’t yet shown his hand to the assessor over staying trips and Milan Native was a good example.

He had not gone beyond 2m5½f in a chase so he was made to look well handicapped on the day, indeed he was bumped up 8lb by the assessor.

Milan Native was the right age, had run in sufficient chases and was trained by Gordon Elliott, so he would have very much fit the bill for many.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

Run Wild Fred, who represents the same connections as 2020 winner, was a cracking second behind Coko Beach in the Thyesters Chase at Gowran Park and he may well have finished even closer had he not made a mistake at the final fence.

Run Wild Fred is yet to win a race this term but he clearly stays well and that is some of the strongest form on offer, while this 7-year-old is likely capable of a good deal better.

Dickie Diver doesn’t have enough experience over fences as yet but, because of that, he is dangerously unexposed and we know he’s a talented individual because he was fourth in the 2019 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle. Unfortunately, he’s only been seen once since but that was a very encouraging second over fences at Newbury.

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2020 Kim Muir Handicap Chase Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stMilan Native9/1Gordon ElliottMr R James
2ndKilfilum Cross8/1Henry OliverMr Alex Edwards
3rdBob Mahler16/1Warren GreatrexMr N McParlan

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

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