Kim Muir Handicap Chase 2020 Trends

Trends are the best place to start when trying to narrow down a tricky Cheltenham Festival handicap field! So we've taken a look at the most important Kim Muir Handicap Chase trends for you, and used them to find you the best horses to follow right now for the 2020 running.

Kim Muir Handicap Chase 2020 Trends

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2020 Kim Muir Handicap Chase Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had won no more than three chases overall
  • Had won no more than two handicap chases, nine winning none
  • Had run in at least five chases overall
  • Had run in at least two handicap chases
  • Had run between 2-5 times that season
  • Carried 11st 4lbs or more in the race
  • Last finished in the first three no more than four runs ago
  • Were not French-bred - 38 ran, four placed

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Were not older than nine years
  • Had not run in more than seven handicap chases
  • Last ran no more than 76 days ago

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Were aged seven or eight
  • Last ran in a handicap
  • Had run at Cheltenham over fences before
  • Wore headgear, a tongue tie, or both in the race

Key Trials in the last 10 years

With Cheltenham's handicaps, it's often better to look down the field in the popular trials, rather than at the winner, but we've given you the winners below as a guide.

  • The Grade B Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown's Christmas Festival has produced three of the last 10 winners (Any Second Now & Spring Heeled) and five placed horses. Roaring Bull won this trial in 2019, beating Fitzhenry.
  • The Grade B Tim Duggan Memorial handicap Chase at Limerick's Christmas Festival has produced one winner (Domesday Book) and one placed finisher. Sumos Novios won that trial in 2019.
  • In 2018 Missed Approach used Warwick's Classic Chase as a springboard to Kim Muir vicory. This had also been contested by 2008 winner High Chimes.The 2020 renewal was won by Kimberlite Candy.


Trainer Trends

  • In the last 10 years David Pipe has saddled 24 runners in the Kim Muir, saddling two winners and two placed horses. He loves this race and is always worth following.
  • Gordon Elliott is emerging as a trainer to follow too. From his nine runners, he's had one winner and four placed horses.
  • You wouldn't be in profit if you'd backed all Elliott's and Pipe's runners, but you would be £5.00 up if you'd had £1 on Nigel Twiston-Davies's 12 runners. He's one once, and placed twice.
  • Only three of the last 10 renewals were won by trainers based in Ireland


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Jockey Trends

It's worth noting that this handicap chase is only open to amatuer riders, and that tends to make it even more important to follow jockey trends.

  • Jamie Codd has won four of the last 11 runnings of the Kim Muir, for three differend trainers. There's no doubt the horse he chooses is to be respected.
  • In 2019, Ireland's record-breaking point-to-point rider Derek O'Connor achieved his first Kim Muir win on Any Second Now.

How did the trends do last year?

Winner Any Second Now went straight on the trends radar when he finished fifth in the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown. It was off-putting that he had not won a chase, but he had been beaten just a neck in one right before his Leopardstown run.

He ticked all the other trends for exposure and experience, including having run over fences at the Cheltenham Festival before, and had little trouble giving owner JP McManus his third winner in 10 years, winning by nearly four lengths.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?

At the moment, the most positives are for The Conditional, who was last seen finishing fourth in the Classic Chase at Warwick

Trained by David Bridgewater, the eight-year-old, really hits the target on all the experience and exposure trends, and is particularly appealing as he won over fences at Cheltenham in October.

The JP McManus-owned Fitzhenry is also high on the trends radar, having been a close second in the Paddy Power Chase and hitting bang on the ideal age; eight.

McManus's Glenloe could be worth following too; he was fourth in the Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase, and, aged nine, has only had five starts over fences.

Trained by Gordon Elliott, it is a negative he hasn't won yet, but then, neither had Any Second Now.

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2019 Kim Muir Handicap Chase Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stAny Second Now6/1Ted WalshMr Derek O'Connor
2ndKilfilum Cross7/1Henry OliverMr Alex Edwards
3rdThe Young Master22/1Neil MulhollandMr Sam Waley-Cohen
4thCrievehill40/1Nigel Twiston-DaviesMr Zac Baker

Cheltenham Festival 2020 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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