Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle 2020 Trends

Trends are the best way to narrow down Cheltenham's tricky handicaps, so we've looked at the most important trends for the Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle for you, and used them to find the best horses to follow right now for the 2020 running.

Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle 2020 Trends

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2020 Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Carried at least 11st 1lb to victory
  • Had won 1-4 times over hurdles
  • Had not won more than two handicap hurdles
  • Last ran between 20-77 days ago

 

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Were aged five or six
  • Were bred in Ireland or France
  • Had finished first or second in at least one of their last three runs
  • Had not won more than two hurdle races
  • Had not run more than eight times over hurdles
  • Had won or been placed in a hurdle race run over further than 2m4f
  • Carried at least 11st 3lbs to victory

The last seven winners:

  • Had run in a Graded hurdle race - three winning Grade 3s
  • Had run in less than four handicap hurdles
  • Had not won more than one handicap hurdle/li>

Key Trials in the last 10 years

Winners of this Cheltenham handicap hurdle come from all sorts of places, but the recent trend has been for it to go to a decent novice, just short of Grade 1 class.

It therefore pays to keep an eye on Grade 3 and Grade 2 novices' hurdles, as well as paying attention to five and six-year-olds running in handicaps run over 2m4f or further.

  • The Grade 3 Michael Purcell Memorial Novice Hurdle at Thurles has produced two winners in the last four years alone (Blow By Blow & Champagne Classic). Five O'Clock won this year's renewal..
  • In 2019, winner Early Doors had an unusual Grade 1 prep, but second Dallas Des Pictons's big trial was the Grade B William Fry Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown. The 2020 renewal had Column Of Fire in 3rd who will be fancied by plenty..


Trainer Trends

  • Seven of the last 10 winners were trained in Ireland, or by Paul Nicholls.
  • Willie Mullins is 2/18, with three of those non-winners still placing in the top four
  • Gordon Elliott has arguably the best record having saddled two winners and six placed horses from 17 runners. Having worked for Martin Pipe in his younger days, Gordon usually targets this race.
  • Nicky Henderson is 0/25, just four of those runners placing.

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Jockey Trends

  • The last 10 winners were ridden by jockeys that had never ridden a Cheltenham Festival winner before

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How did the trends do last year?

The trends liked the winner Early Doors so much that it was in fact the second year in succession that he had been on the short-list for the 2020 Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle.

Stamina had been a question in 2018, but when he finished third in a Grade 1 run over 3m, his 2019 odds were smashed. He ticked all the key trends boxes and went on to be the second successive top-weight to win the race.

Back in second, Dallas Des Pictons was an obvious trends positive for this Cheltenham Festival test, and third Defi Bleu almost wrote the trends himself with his form.

The only other runners to hit all the key trends were Getareason and Pym. The former was badly let down by jumping on his handicap debut, and Pym? Well, he just finished 11th, another victim of Nicky Henderson's terrible record in the race.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?

At the moment, the horse standing out on the trends is Column Of Fire, trained by Gordon Elliott.

He's the right age, has the right trainer, was 3rd in the right trial and has won over 2m4f. He's only run six times over hurdles, a big plus, and holds an entry in potential trial, the William Fry Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown.

Will he still be the trends positive come raceday? Let's see what comes out of the woodwork in the next few weeks of racing. Those Grade 3s remember can be very telling.


2019 Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stEarly Doors5/1Joseph O'BrienJonjo O'Neill Jr
2ndDallas Des Pictons7/2fGordon ElliottDonagh Meyler
3rdDefi Bleu14/1Gordon ElliottConor Brassil
4thChampagne Court14/1Jeremy ScottRex Dingle

Cheltenham Festival 2020 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

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Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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