OUTRIGHT BETTING ODDS:
|Rafael Nadal||10/3||William Hill|
|David Goffin||66/1||Royal Panda|
Sam Querrey stands in Nadal’s way of a tie against either Federer or Kei Nishikori, and though the American still has a big booming serve to bring to the party, he’s getting no younger at 31 and isn’t as mobile around the court as he used to be. He's unserstandly an outsider in the betting with the top betting sites.
Tennys Sandgren can consider himself very unfortunate to have succumbed to Querrey in a four-set marathon, where three of the sets went to a tie break. Nadal’s simple 6-2, 6-2, 6-2 win over Joao Sousa will ensure he’s the much fresher man heading into that particular quarter-final.
Defending champion, Djokovic, is in terrifyingly good form. The way in which he dispatched Ugo Humbert 6-3, 6-2, 6-3 in their Round of 16 clash was an exercise in focus, agility and the ability to always choose the right shot selection. With the greatest of respect to the other players on his side of the draw, only complacency can stop the Serbian from making another final now.
Federer too was imperious on Centre Court against Matteo Berrettini. The Italian was a lamb to the slaughter as the second seed moved into overdrive and power through his Round of 16 tie 6-1, 6-2, 6-2. The Swiss is unlikely to have too many more Wimbledon’s left in him, if any, but the form he is in right now does make him a contender.
He might well be the romantics choice for a record-breaking ninth men’s title, but at this point he more than deserves to be in the shake-up. His is a natural and graceful style that’s very pleasing on the eye and which hides rapier-like stroke play when necessary. The grass courts have always looked after Federer too, and it’s where he seems most comfortable.
His quarter-final opponent, Kei Nishikori, could well have done without being taken to four sets by Mikhail Kukushkin, the latter equalling the former on points won on first serve (64%), having less double faults (one compared to Nishikori’s two) and playing significantly more aces (eight to three).
Guido Pella faces Roberto Bautista-Agut in the most equal of the quarters on paper. Just four ranking places separate the pair, and two years in age, but will Pella have enough in his legs to get past his contemporary after a gruelling five-setter?
That one will be settled by the smallest of details.
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Wimbledon Men’s Outright Betting Odds
There’s an almighty chasm in betting terms between the top three players left in the tournament and the rest of the field, and it’s hard to recall a Wimbledon in recent memory where that was the case.
Djokovic remains the overwhelming favourite (7/10 with 888Sport) to retain his crown, and nothing is going to distract him from what he hopes will be another successful fortnight in south west London.
Not even the partisan crowd who will, most likely, side with the ever-popular Nadal or Federer (both 3/1 with the major betting sites), assuming both negotiate their quarter-final ties.
The winner of the tie between Roberto Bautista-Agut and Guido Pella will face Djokovic in the semis, so it’s largely with that in mind that Bautista-Agut finds himself at 40/1 with Redzone and Pella a distant 80/1 shot with Unibet and others.
At this point of the competition it remains one for the top seeds to lose, unlike in the women’s tournament where the major players fell like skittles on an incredibly exciting Monday.
Wimbledon 2019 Recommended Bet
It’s clear who the bookmakers believe will triumph this year, and Djokovic is at 7/10 with 888Sport on almost everywhere.
Four of the eight quarter-finalists are at least 25/1 shots or longer and whilst a flutter on that quartet would bring a handsome return, their odds are such for a reason. Simply put, they have neither the firepower, the stamina, the range of shot selection or the intelligence of the likes of Djokovic, Nadal or Federer.
After having such a good season, there’s money being put on the Spaniard and he’s been backed into 10/3 with William Hill. Federer’s odds mirror Nadal’s and depending on your bias, either the Swiss or his good friend are worth putting a few quid on.
A classic final beckons…