EPL SACK RACE - NEXT MANAGER TO LEAVE BETTING ODDS:
Odds correct as of 15:00, 13/01/2020.
|Tip||Current Team||Odds (Click to bet)||Bet with|
|Eddie Howe||Bournemouth||6/4||William Hill|
|Dean Smith||Aston Villa||5/2||Betway|
|Daniel Farke||Norwich City||7/2||BetVictor|
|Ole Gunnar Solskjaer||Manchester United||4/1||Ladbrokes|
|No Manager To Leave||N/A||10/1||William Hill|
|Nuno Espirito Santo||Wolves||33/1||Coral|
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Since 28 December 2019, it has been all quiet on the Premier League managerial sacking front. Manuel Pellegrini leaving West Ham United on this date wasn’t a surprise given that the Hammers had been sinking down the table for months, although there doesn’t appear to be any obvious Sack Race candidates who could follow the Chilean out of their respective exit door.
Nevertheless, there are always going to be teams who are sucked into a relegation battle at this part of the season and, with the January transfer window open for business, it’s not uncommon for football clubs to make a decisive action and install a new manager who will then have time for recruitment in a quest to keep the team afloat.
Howe Deep Are Bournemouth in Trouble?
At the beginning of the season, some would have wondered if it was actually possible for Eddie Howe to be sacked by AFC Bournemouth? It would seem akin to Neverland sacking Peter Pan although the 42-year-old might well have reached the end of the road at the Vitality Stadium.
Howe certainly appears to be running out of ideas at the Dorset club and he doesn’t strike us as the sort of manager who will stubbornly persist at the helm if it means that the Cherries’ top-flight status is put in major jeopardy. The former Burnley manager - currently the bookies favourite at 6/4 to leave his post - has admitted that this is the toughest season he’s ever experienced as a manager, with Bournemouth squarely staring down the barrel.
The club are nineteenth in the Premier League table and a return of twenty points from twenty-two games played is patently not good enough if they are to avoid the relegation trapdoor come the end of the season. There have been just five victories all season and only one has come in their previous eleven encounters.
Indeed, that 1-0 win at Chelsea only came after a five-match losing streak, with a solitary point picked up in the past five games and Sunday’s 3-0 home defeat against Watford indicated that the club have now entered crisis point. Admittedly, Howe doesn’t have vast swathes of money to recruit new players although he’s trading as the 6/4 favourite in the Sack Race market.
What might keep Howe at the Vitality Stadium is the fact that he has previously steered them up two divisions to reach the Promised Land, while it’s hard to envisage who might replace him at this point in the season in a bid to resurrect the team’s fortunes. Perhaps Bournemouth will stick with him whether they go down or not on the basis that he’s been in charge since 2012.
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Will Aston Villa Sack One of Their Own?
The Aston Villa supporters might be dismayed by the fact that they lost 6-1 at home to Manchester City in their most recent match, a result which leaves the Midlands club stationed in the Premier League relegation zone and the team have averaged less than one point per match this season. However, they are not yet calling for the head of the manager.
Dean Smith was given over £100 million to spend on new players last summer to ensure that the Villans maintained their newly-acquired top-flight status, although his recruitment is starting to look a little shabby considering that the team are currently heading back towards the Championship unless results improve.
Despite their lowly status, Smith can point to the fact that his team have one foot in the EFL Cup final after drawing 1-1 at Leicester in their semi-final first leg clash, while the manager has had to contend with Tom Heaton and Wesley recently sustaining season-ending injuries and they have joined the influential John McGinn on the sidelines.
While the fans continue to largely keep the faith in the former Brentford manager who performed a minor miracle when steering the Villa into the Premier League last season, the club’s ambitious owners will be carefully monitoring the situation after such a hefty investment in players and potentially be considering their next step in terms of managerial recruitment.
Smith is trading as the 5/2 on Betway’s Sack Race market and it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if the Brummie was relieved of his duties, even if his replacement was then given the rather tall order of trying to keep the Birmingham side out of the bottom three between now and the end of the season.
Farke 7/2 After Norwich Thrashed at Old Trafford
It was an entirely predictable 4-0 scoreline when Manchester United entertained Norwich City last weekend, with the Red Devils winning very comfortably against a team who look virtually certain to be among the trio who are relegated to the Championship in May.
There is an air of resignation at Carrow Road considering that the Canaries have collected just fourteen points all season and it’s incredible to think that three of these came against Manchester City back in September when the East Anglian side somehow engineered a 3-1 victory over the champions of England against all the odds.
Manager Daniel Farke steered Norwich to promotion last season when winning the Championship and it would be somewhat cruel if the German was sacked should City be relegated, although he’s currently 7/2 with BetVictor on the latest Premier League Sack Race market and there’s the possibility that the club’s board will consider him to have failed against the expectations set out last summer.
Farke wasn’t given a huge amount of money to spend in order to keep Norwich competitive in the top flight and there was a reliance on Teemu Pukki for goals last term which has been the same this time around. We think it’s plausible will remain at Carrow Road until next season and be given the opportunity to mount another promotion campaign with the club.
Can Solskjaer Last the Season at Manchester United?
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer often sets himself up for ridicule with some of the pre-match and post-match comments that are made to the media. The Norwegian seems to be very good at praising his team to high heaven when they win and making excuses for them when they fail, which has happened by virtue of the fact that they’ve drawn or lost thirteen times in the Premier League this season.
While a recent 4-0 win over Norwich City provided some entertainment for the supporters, the bookmakers still think that Solskjaer’s position at Old Trafford is a vulnerable one and the bottom line is that the former Manchester United striker has been among the Sack Race favourites since the 2019/20 season began.
The Red Devils are five points behind fourth-placed Chelsea in their quest to qualify for the Champions League and a failure to dine at Europe’s top table next season could see the north-west giant act and install a new manager with a stronger track record than the former Molde and Cardiff City boss.
Solskjaer has clearly built up a rapport with the squad and it’s been admirable to see him trying to blood young players, with Mason Greenwood, Brandon Williams and Andreas Pereira all benefitting from the policy this season, although there remains a nagging doubt that the current boss is the one to take the club forward in the long-term.
Ladbrokes offer 4/1 about Ole in their Sack Race market, although others are more wary that Manchester United might act between now and May, with William Hill going 7/2 that Solskjaer is the next top-flight boss to go.
Will Dyche Part Company with Clarets?
Like Eddie Howe at Bournemouth, Sean Dyche has been at Burnley for a considerable amount of time and one would be surprised when the day comes when the gravel-voiced manager is no longer at Turf Moor. After all, the former Watford boss is one of the most successful in the Lancashire club’s history and will be adored by the supporters irrespective of how things end for him.
It’s fair to say that the Clarets are struggling in the top flight this season and that’s par for the course considering they have a perennial battle to be competitive in the Premier League considering their relative lack of resources when set against the majority of clubs in the division.
With Burnley hovering just above the relegation zone right now, Dyche’s Sack Race odds have shortened considerably and one bookmaker have 10/1 that he will be the next manager to be axed, although BetVictor’s 16/1 suggest that there are several others before him that are likely to bite the bullet.
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Some Punters Backing No Premier League Sackings
It might be a quaint thought to some, although there’s the possibility of actually having a bet on no Premier League manager to be sacked between now and the end of the 2019/20 season. While we’re in mid-January and there are months to go between now and the end of the campaign, there are odds of 10/1 with William Hill that we have a clean slate come May.
This is always an interesting bet considering that you move a step closer to a profit with the passing of every week without a Premier League managerial casualty and it’s especially appealing to football fans who expect Eddie Howe and Dean Smith to remain with Bournemouth and Aston Villa respectively.
You would have to argue that the clubs who have been underperforming in the top flight this season against expectations have already sacked their respective managers, with the teams now scrapping against relegation having been the ones you might have previously expected to be down there.
Realistically, it looks as though only five candidates can lose their job between now and May – are you brave enough to bet on the quintet keeping their roles and you potentially landing a winning bet on “No Manager to Leave”?
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