RSA Novices' Chase 2020 Trends

Our horse racing experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have taken a look at the key trends from the last 10 years which will help you find the best horse to follow in the 2020 renewal of the RSA Novices' Chase.

26th January 2020 | By: Colm Phelan

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2020 RSA Novices' Chase Trends

The last 10 winners:

Rated 144 or higher
Were bred in Ireland or Great Britain
Had previously ran in two to five novie chases
Placed at Cheltenham before
Had run in at least one Graded race
Beaten by more than three lengths, or won, in their previous race

Nine of the last 10 winners:

Had won over 3m
Last run was in a Grade 1 or Grade2 novice chase
Wins in no more than two chases
Victory on a left-handed track
Run at Cheltneham before, with 6/10 winning at the track

Key Trials from the last 10 years

The Grade 1 Flogas Novice Chase at Leopardstown has given three winners in the last decade (Lord Windermere, Bostons Angel & Weapons Amnesty). Faugheen won this race in 2020.
The Grade 2 Towton Novices' Chase has seen two winners over the last decade (Blaklion & Bobs Worth). This race was abandoned in 2019.
Don Poli (2015 winner) won the Grade 1 Nevilles Hotel Novice Chase before his RSA victory. Battleoverdoyen won this in 2019.
O'Faolains Boy (2014) won the Grade 1 Reynoldstown Novices' Chase at Ascot and Topofthegame (2019) won the Kauto Star Novices' Chase (Slate House) at Kempton before their respective RSA scalps.

Trainer Trends

Nicky Henderson will look to add to his two wins and five places in this renewal - the most of any trainer currently in the game.
Jessica Harrington boasts the best strike rate at 50% from two runs.
Willie Mullins and Paul Nicholls will both hope to add to their tally - both have one win in this race.

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Jockey Trends

Davy Russell is the hot jockey in this race with three wins over the last 10 years.
Barry Geraghty is next in line with two wins, one for Nicky Henderson on the aforementioned Bobs Worth and one for Rebecca Curtis on board O'Faolains Boy.
Bryan Cooper, Nico de Boinville, Robbie Power and Harry Cobden are also worth monitoring having had previous wins in this race.

How did the trends do last year?

Topofthegame (4/1) won this renewal last year at the Cheltenham Festival for Paul Nichols, with Harry Cobden steering him home by half a length to Santini.

The eight-year-old had plenty of form heading into the race and matched many of the trends indicated by Bookmakers.co.uk.

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Topofthegame is top of the class in the RSA! #TheFestival #CheltenhamFestival pic.twitter.com/uEFH0Qn3xC
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) March 13, 2019

Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?

Battleoverdoyen for Gordon Elliott appears to fit the bill for quite a few of the trends outlined above.

The seven-year-old has started his season in supreme style and should have Davy Russell on board come March - he could end up as a big price after somewhat flopping in the Flogas Novices Chase despite that race being over too short a trip.