Ryanair Chase 2021 Trends

Finding the winner of the Ryanair Chase isn't always easy, so we've taken a look at the most important Ryanair Chase trends from the last 10 years for you. We've used them to find you the best horses to follow right now in the 2021 Ryanair Chase.

Ryanair Chase 2021 Trends

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2021 Ryanair Chase Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had run in at least six chases in their career
  • Had run in at least three Grade 1s
  • Had run at Cheltenham before
  • Had won on a left-handed course
  • Had an official handicap rating over fences of at least 161
  • Last ran no more than 82 days ago

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won at least four times over fences
  • Were aged between 7 & 9
  • Had been first or second in one of their last three races

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won a Grade 1 race
  • Had won a race at Cheltenham

Key Trials from the last 10 years

  • The King George VI Chase at Kempton has thrown out three of the last 10 winners (Vautour, Dynaste & Albertas Run).Clan Des Obeaux won that trial in 2019.
  • The Ascot Chase has also thrown out three of the last 10 winners (Cue Card, Riverside Theatre & Alberta's Run). It has also thrown out four placed finishers.
  • The Clarence House Chase at Ascot has also been useful, producing one winner (Un De Sceaux) and three placed finishers. Defi Du Seuil won that trial in 2020.
  • The Cotswold Chase at Cheltenham was used 2019 winner Frodon's last run before his Cheltenham Festival win.
  • 2020 winner Min was stepping up in trip for the Ryanair having finished second behind stablemate Chacun Pour Soi in the Grade 1 Dublin Chase at Leopardstown the previous month.


Trainer Trends

  • Min’s 2020 victory elevated Willie Mullins to winning-most trainer status in the Ryanair Chase. Mullins has won three of the last five renewals and has also had a second in that period.
  • This used to be a race that was dominated by the home trainers but the pendulum has swung in recent times, with four of the last five editions going to Irish-based trainers.

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Jockey Trends

  • No jockey currently riding has ridden more than one winner of this race but, given the recent dominance of top Irish trainer Willie Mullins, it will doubtless pay to keep his main jockeys on side.
  • Paul Townend won the race aboard Min in 2020 and he would have a great chance again in 2021 whether he sides with Min again or sides with the younger legs of Allaho.

How did the trends do last year?

Min was a major player on trends in 2020 and duly toughed it out to see off the arguably unlucky Saint Calvados up the hill.

Min was in the right age range, had run in the correct number of races, had finished second in Grade 1 company on his final start and was rated 170, which made him one of the highest-rated horses to have run in the Ryanair Chase.


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Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

Min heads ante-post 2021 Ryanair Chase lists but he is a 10-year-old now and no horse of that age has won the race since Albertas Run in 2011. Albertas Run is also the only horse ever to win the race twice.

Min’s stablemate Allaho, an improving 7-year-old rated 162, looks a better bet having ran out a stylish winner of a Grade 2 at Thurles in January. He has Cheltenham experience having finished third in the 2020 RSA Chase and it would be no surprise if Paul Townend decided to ride Allaho rather than Min at the festival.

2020 runner-up Saint Calvados is rated 5lb superior to Allaho and he will be a big player once again having not looked at home around the right-hand turns of Kempton on Boxing Day.


2020 Ryanair Chase Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stMin2/1Willie MullinsPaul Townend
2ndSaint Calvados16/1Harry WhittingtonGavin Sheehan
3rdA Plus Tard7/4Henry De BromheadRachael Blackmore

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