Stayers' Hurdle 2021 Trends

The trends of a race can be really useful to follow when looking for winners at the Cheltenham Festival, so we've taken a look at the most important Stayers' Hurdle trends from the last 10 years for you. We've used them to find you the best horses to follow right now in the 2021 Stayers' Hurdle.

Stayers' Hurdle 2021 Trends

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Need some help finding the winner of the 2021 edition of the Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last ten renewals in order to help you find the winner of this Grade 1 contest.

2021 Stayers Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had run at Cheltenham before
  • Last ran in a race no more than 47 days ago
  • Had run at least twice in the last 12 months
  • Were aged between six and nine

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Won one of their last three starts
  • Had run at least twice that season
  • Had won a Grade 2 hurdle before
  • Had three or more wins on a left-handed track
  • Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 hurdle

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won a Grade 1 race - exceptions had won Grade 2s
  • Finished in the first two last time out
  • Had run over 3m or further before

Key Trials from the last 10 years

  • The Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham has thrown out five of the last 10 winners (Paisley Park, Thistlecrack, Cole Harden, Big Buck's and Lisnagar Oscar). It has also hosted seven placed finishers. No trial has a better record. However, the 2021 edition was rerouted to Wetherby after the Cheltenham meeting was called off.
  • 2017 winner Nichols Canyon actually ran in the Irish Champion Hurdle (2m) on his final start but it is rare for horses to step up so markedly in trip going into the festival.
  • The Relkeel Hurdle at Cheltenham has also proven a useful trial, with one winner and two placed finishers in the past 10 years.


Trainer Trends

  • Paul Nicholls has won the race four times, more than any other, but all of those with his star staying hurdler Big Buck’s. The last of those victories came in 2012. Nicholls’ has had three placed horses since.
  • Willie Mullins has won two of the last four Stayers' Hurdles, both winners being aged seven and bred in Britain. He's also had four placed horses in the past 10 years from 23 runners.


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Jockey Trends

  • Winning-most jockey Ruby Walsh (5) is now retired so his replacement at Willie Mullins all-powerful year, Paul Townend, looks an obvious rider to keep onside. He has already landed his first Stayers' Hurdle win.
  • Richard Johnson hasn’t ridden the winner of this since Anzum in 1988 but he has a big chance aboard Thyme Hill in 2021.
  • Aidan Coleman won the race on Paisley Park in 2019 and although he disappointed in 2020, he’s a big player again in 2021.

How did the trends do last year?

Lisnagar Oscar was, by some way, the biggest price winner of this race in living memory and he had not won a race previously that season, so he wasn’t an obvious trends player.

However, he wasn’t disgraced behind Paisley Park in the Cleeve Hurdle and he did fit the bill in terms of a number of other metrics, notably that he was Grade 2 winner that was the right age and had run at Cheltenham before.


Check out latest Cheltenham ante post odds.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

Paisley Park and Thyme Hill, separated by just a neck in the Grade 1 Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot in December, are very strong contenders for this big prize. Both are previous winners at the Cheltenham Festival, both are in the right age range and both stay extremely well.

Of the Irish raiders, Sire Du Berlais and Ronald Pump look the pair to focus on. Sire Du Berlais, winner of the last two Pertemps Finals, is a Grade 2 winner over hurdles. Ronald Pump, second in the 2020 Stayers’ Hurdle, is by no means fully exposed at the top level either. He ran a cracker behind Honeysuckle in the Hatton’s Grace Hurdle at Fairyhouse in November.


2020 Stayers' Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stLisnagar Oscar50/1Rebecca CurtisAdam Wedge
2ndRonald Pump20/1Matthew SmithB J Cooper
3rdBacardys33/1Willie MullinsP W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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    In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering.