Super Bowl 2022 Odds*
|Team||Odds||Bet with (Click to bet)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||5/1||Paddy Power|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||9/1||BetVictor|
|Green Bay Packers||11/1||Paddy Power|
|Los Angeles Rams||13/1||Paddy Power|
|San Francisco 49ers||14/1||Paddy Power|
|New Orleans Saints||16/1||Paddy Power|
|Cleveland Browns||20/1||Paddy Power|
|New England Patriots||35/1||Paddy Power|
*Odds correct as of February 10, 2021
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As the dust settles on Tom Brady's seventh Super Bowl win, the focus now for the other 31 teams is to plot the downfall of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Brady made it clear in the aftermath of the Buccaneers' 31-9 victory over Kansas City that he will return in a hope to 'run it back' with Tampa Bay at the SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles next February.
The Chiefs' hopes of running it back this year were ended by the Buccaneers' brilliant defense which kept the defending champions out of their endzone for the first time since Patrick Mahomes became the starting quarterback ahead of the 2018 season.
The loss should not derail Kansas City's hopes of establishing themselves as the league's next dynasty, but that will have to wait another year as they set their sights on winning Super Bowl LVI.
The Chiefs are set up for another run at the title with the majority of their stars returning next season and for that reason they are the early 5/1 favourites to win their second title in three seasons.
As long as Patrick Mahomes lines up under center for the Chiefs, Kansas City will be challengers more often than not.
Injuries to key players on the offensive line made it easier for the Buccaneers to chase the quarterback and throw him off his game. Mahomes was chased for 497 yards prior to throwing passes which is unheard of.
Mahomes and co will be a force again next season, as long as they can avoid injuries to key players.
But their nemesis from Tampa Bay led by Brady are not far behind them on the market at 9/1 on the best betting apps. The Buccaneers started last season 13/1 to win the Super Bowl. No team has won back-to-back titles since the 2003 and 2004 Patriots when Brady was under center.
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Brady Back Next Season
With the G.O.A.T. confirming his return next season, Brady's team-mates would be wise to follow suit. A reduction in the salary cap because of the money each team lost as a result of Covid-19, means players about to become free agents have big choices to make.
Do they take a reduction in salary and improve their chances of winning another ring, or agree to be traded to a team whose chances of making the title game are a lot lower?
Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans, who caught one pass for 31 yards in the Super Bowl, has reportedly offered to give up some of his salary to help keep others at the Raymond James Stadium. Winning a Super Bowl ring certainly makes players all the more generous.
The 30 teams that watched the Super Bowl from their homes have had several weeks to assess their rosters and figure out what decisions have to be made in April's Draft and the free agency market where veteran players can be picked up by other teams following the expiry of their contracts.
Brady is a great example of the business that can be done in free agency. His contract was up in New England and he was allowed to leave and join any team he wanted. He chose the Buccaneers and turned them from pretenders to champions.
The Draft is an opportunity for the teams with the worst record get first choice on the best young talent coming out of the college programme hoping to find a franchise quarterback or the final piece of the jigsaw that can turn them into contenders.
Green Bay were soundly criticised for their decision not to add weapons in the skill positions to help them get back to the Super Bowl for the first time in 10 years.
Instead they used their first round pick on a quarterback to eventually replace Aaron Rodgers who won his third MVP award at the NFL Honors on the night before Sunday's Super Bowl.
Rodgers proved there is plenty of life left in his arm as he guided the Packers to the NFC Conference game, but he and Green Bay came up five points short against the Buccaneers.
The Packers are not expected to make the same mistake as they did in last year's Draft and Rodgers can expect to have a rookie wide receiver or a veteran to throw to and take the pressure off Davante Adams who led the league with 18 TDs. If Green Bay draft wisely, they could make it to Los Angeles for Super Bowl LVI.
The Packers are 11/1 with top bookmakers if you shop around, which is the same odds as the Buffalo Bills who were one of the most compelling stories of last season.
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Bills Building Momentum
The Bills have emerged as one of the best teams in the AFC and after winning their first divisional title in 25 years, they will want to achieve more.
In Josh Allen, the Bills found their franchise quarterback in the 2018 Draft and they have added talent like wide receiver Stefon Diggs to their roster in a trade 12 months ago.
A successful draft and clever moves for veterans to strengthen their offensive line which looked vulnerable against the Chiefs in the AFC Conference game, could see the Bills represent the AFC in next year's Super Bowl.
Buffalo has been improving year after year under head coach Sean McDermott and if they can strengthen their ground game and add a linebacker, then they could be the team to beat in their conference.
The Los Angeles Rams (13/1) will be looking to follow in the footsteps of the Buccaneers and that is to win the Super Bowl on their home turf. SoFi Stadium is scheduled to host next year's title game and the Rams have many key pieces in place for a championship run.
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Their defense, led by Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald, was ranked number one last season. Linebacker Leonard Floyd and cornerback Jalen Ramsey can claim to be the best in their positions so the defense needs little tinkering with.
It's on offense that caused concern last season. Questions were raised about Jared Goff's ability to lead the team to glory and a deal was agreed to swap Goff with long-time Lions quarterback Matt Stafford who will be expected to light a fire with the ball and lead the Rams to the Conference championship game at the very least. Stafford will need protecting and they will look to find a veteran left tackle to make the Rams genuine contenders.
When the 49ers (14/1) lost the 2020 Super Bowl, many expected San Francisco to make it back to the big game. But injuries to key players put paid to those plans. Quarterback Jimmy Garappolo, tight-end George Kittle, running-back Raheem Mostert and defensive ends Nick Bosa and Dee Ford all missed half the season or more.
The 49ers will return much stronger next season although who will be under center remains open for discussion. Garoppolo's future has been in question ever since he overthrew Emmanuel Sanders in last year's Super Bowl which could have won the game for the 49ers.
If they can trade for an experienced call-player and perhaps find a 1,000-yard rusher which they have not had since Frank Gore seven seasons ago, then San Francisco's quest for a sixth title could be within the reach of head coach Kyle Shanahan and his players.
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The window of opportunity to win a Super Bowl does not stay open for long. And for some teams the window has shut, unless they can find a way of turning their fortunes around in the coming weeks and months.
Baltimore (14/1) hope their window for winning a third Super Bowl title is still open, but they have to find a better balanced offense. The Ravens led the league in rushing thanks to mobile quarterback Lamar Jackson, but were last in passing which made them predictable and easy to beat in games that mattered.
The Saints (16/1) look set to move forward without Drew Brees who is expected to officially announce his retirement after leading New Orleans to the playoffs in each of the last four seasons. Jameis Winston and Jaysom Tatum will battle it out for his job, but it is unlikely either will be able to lead the Saints to the Super Bowl.
Early this season, the Seahawks (19/1) looked to be the team to beat in the NFC and quarterback Russell Wilson looked set to win the MVP award. But once again, Seattle's season fizzled out to lead many to believe their opportunity to win a second Super Bowl has passed.
Watching the Buccaneers lift the Vince Lombardi trophy with their former quarterback will have been hard to take for New England and it will also provide the Patriots' head coach Bill Belichick with added incentive to win the franchise their seventh title.
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The Patriots have not been priced at 35/1 before a season starts to win a Super Bowl for over two decades and it shows they have a lot of work to do to be relevant in January and especially February next year. Cam Newton is not the answer to finding a replacement for Brady and the search continues for their next franchise quarterback.
However, with the 15th pick in the Draft, their answers will have to come from shrewd deals in the free agency market or by trading up to get a higher draft pick. But will top free agents want to join the Patriots when there are so many better teams that are likely to challenge for honours?
Seven teams will start the 2021 season with new head coaches and the Chargers (30/1) are the best priced of these to win the Super Bowl. With rookie quarterback Justin Herbert, the Chargers ended the season with a 7-9 record. Seven of their nine losses were decided by one score so new boss Brandon Staley has a fantastic starting point.
Herbert needs protection and after 22 sacks in 10 games, signing a left tackle as his protector will be an area to focus on this off-season as well as a tight end as a security blanket for the second-year quarterback.
The NFL season may be over in terms of games played, but between now and the start of the new season, a lot of trades and signings will be made that will force the market to change.