The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2021 Trends

The best way to narrow down the field in any Cheltenham Festival handicap is by analysing the race trends. So we've looked at the most important The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle trends for you, and used them to find the best horses to follow right now for the 2021 running.

The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2021 Trends
The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2021 Trends

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2021 The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Were bred in France or Ireland
  • Did not run in a maiden hurdle last time out - 0/32
  • Had run in no more than six hurdle races
  • Had won no more than two hurdle races
  • Had not won a Graded hurdle
  • Had never run at Cheltenham before
  • Finished in the top seven last time out - only four won

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Last ran no more than 53 days ago
  • Were bred in France or Ireland
  • Were officially rated more than 126
  • Last finished in the first two no more than two runs ago

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won a hurdle race
  • Carried at least 5lbs less than the top weight

Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The Grade 2 Adonis Juvenile Novices' Hurdle at Kempton has thrown out two winners (Flying Tiger & Une Artiste) and one placed horse in the past 10 years.
  • The Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown has thrown out one winner (Flaxen Flare) and one placed horse in the past 10 years. The higher-class juveniles tend to head to the Triumph Hurdle instead.
  • The Chatteris Fen Juvenile Hurdle at Huntingdon has thrown out two placed horses (Style De Garde & Divin Bere) in the past 10 years.
  • In 2019, Band Of Outlaws had last run in a novice hurdle at Naas, winning very impressively, while Aramax followed suit in 2020.
  • The second and third-placed horses in 2020 both won maiden hurdles on their final start before the festival.

Trainer Trends

  • Paul Nicholls is brilliant to follow here, having saddled three winners and six placed horses from 21 runners in the past 10 years.
  • However, in recent year’s Nicholls has been caught up by Gordon Elliott who has won two of the last three editions and three in all. Elliott also trained the third and fourth in 2020.
  • Nick Williams is another to follow with one winner and a place from eight runners, giving his supporters a level-stakes profit of £26.00.
  • Nicky Henderson is just 1/13 in the past 10 years but he has also saddled two placed horses during that period so his £1 backers are still up £28!

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Jockey Trends

  • No jockey has won the race more than once in the last 10 years. However, with powerhouse trainers like Paul Nicholls and Gordon Elliott having such good records, it would be sensible to keep retained riders from those stables on side, or retained riders of big owners who have runners with those trainers.

How did the trends do last year?

Aramax very much fit the bill as a progressive, lightly-raced young hurdler trained by Gordon Elliott, someone that is developing a formidable record in this race. Aramax was carrying 11st 8lb, which is a little higher than many recent winners and he was a rare German-bred winner, but those details aside, he very much had the profile of a juvenile handicap hurdle winner.

Runner-up Night Edition came close to ending the long losing run of horses that had run in a maiden hurdle on their previous start.


Check out latest Cheltenham ante post odds.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2021?

The Willie Mullins-trained Saint Sam has been no match for Ireland’s leading juvenile hope Zanahiyr in two starts this winter but he’s been far from disgraced and has been shaping like he’ll be much better served by the bigger field, stronger run affair of a race like this. There could easily be a much bigger performance in him after just five lifetime starts.

Paul Nicholls has done very well in this contest in recent years and he once again has a likely candidate in the completely unexposed Hacker Des Places who bolted at Wetherby over Christmas.



2020 The Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stAramax15/2Gordon ElliottMark Walsh
2ndNight Edition16/1David PipeTom Scudamore
3rdSaint D’oroux14/1Gordon ElliottDaryl Jacob

Cheltenham Festival 2021 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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