Triumph Hurdle 2020 Trends

Not all trends are equal at the Cheltenham Festival, so we've taken a look at the most important Triumph Hurdle trends from the last 10 years, and used them to find you the best horses to follow right now for the fascinating 2020 running.

Triumph Hurdle 2020 Trends

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2020 Triumph Hurdle Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Finished in the first four on their last run
  • Finished in the first two in one of their last three starts
  • Last ran over hurdles, no more than 50 days ago
  • Had run up to six times over hurdles
  • Had won if they had run at Cheltenham before

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Were bred in Ireland or France
  • Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2
  • Won last time out, or were beaten no more than three lengths
  • Had run no more than three times since their last win
  • Had won at least half of all their hurdle runs - six were unbeaten

Seven of the last 10 winners:

  • Had run no more than four times on the Flat - four had never run on the Flat

 


Key Trials in the last 10 years

  • The Grade 2 Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown has produced five of the last seven winners (Farclas, Ivanovich Gorbatov, Tiger Roll, Our Conor & Countrywide Flame). It has also thrown out nine placed horses in 10 years. The 2020 running was taken by A Wave Of The Sea.
  • The Grade 3 Triumph Hurdle Trial at Cheltenham has produced two of the last seven winners (Defi Du Seuil & Peace And Co). It has also thrown out one placed finisher. The 2020 running was taken by Galahad Quest.


Trainer Trends

  • Nicky Henderson boasts a massive 25% strike rate in the Grade 1, having saddled three winners and four placed horses from only 12 runners. In 2015 he had the 1-2-3!
  • Gordon Elliott boasts a 22% strike rate in the Triumph Hurdle, having saddled two winners and two placed horses from just nine runners.


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Jockey Trends

  • Barry Geraghty has ridden three of the last 10 Triumph Hurdle winners, making him one to follow riding these top-class four-year-olds.
  • In 2019, Nico De Boinville rode his first Triumph Hurdle winner, as Henderson landed a record seventh.

How did the trends do last year?

Winner Pentland Hills made it onto the Triumph Hurdle trends radar off the back of his trainer Nicky Henderson's immense record in the race, and the manner in which he had won his only hurdles start by 14 lengths.

But he was only a tenative selection, the real trends horse being the Spring Juvenile Hurdle winner Sir Erec, who had unfortunately fallen early in the race. He was a trends dream and a very worthy Cheltenham Festival favourite.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?

Right now, Allmankind is the one with the most positives in the Triumph Hurdle trends. He is unbeaten over hurdles, and has already won a Grade 2.

Allmankind has also won at Cheltenham, and has the more modern, limited Flat racing history. His one negative is that he was bred in Britain, not Ireland or France.

It might be worth keeping an eye out however for any late Nicky Henderson runners!


2019 Triumph Hurdle Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stPentland Hills20/1Nicky HendersonNico De Boinville
2ndCoeur Sublime20/1Gordon ElliottDavy Russell
3rdGardens Of Bablyon9/1Joseph O'BrienBarry Geraghty

Cheltenham Festival 2020 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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