Ultima Handicap Chase 2020 Trends

As with the majority of Cheltenham Festival races, there are certain trends that can help punters to find the winner. Our horse racing experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have taken a look at the most important pointers from the last 10 years which will help you find the best horse to follow in the 2020 renewal of the Ultima Handicap Chase.

Ultima Handicap Chase 2020 Trends

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2020 Ultima Handicap Chase Trends


The last 10 winners:

  • Had finished in the first 6 on their last start, with four winning their previous start.
  • Had tasted victory over at least 3 miles over hurdles or fences
  • Had tasted victory on a galloping track
  • Had at least four starts in the previous 12 months
  • Had run at Cheltenham before (6 of these winners had run over fences at Prestbury Park).

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Had won no more than 4 times previously over fences
  • Had at least five starts over fences
  • Had taken part in at least one handicap chase; only Beware The Bear had won more than one
  • Finished in the first three in one of their last three starts
  • Last ran between 18 & 45 days ago

Eight of the last 10 winners:

  • Aged between 7 and 9
  • Officially rated 142 or higher

Six of the last 10 winners:

  • Were running off their highest chase handicap mark
  • Carried more than 11st & 1 pound

Key Trials from the last 10 years

  • The Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas has thrown up 1 winner (Alfie Sherrin) and 2 places in the last 10 years. Roaring Bull famously won this trial in 2019.
  • Beware the Bear used the Ladbrokes Trophy as his trial in 2019.
  • Oddly the Cleeve Hurdle has been seen to good effect as a trial for this race. The Cleeve Hurdle has produced a winner and 2 places in the last 10 years.


Trainer Trends

  • With 3 winners and 6 places each overall, David Pipe and Jonjo O'Neill have the best record in the race.
  • Nicky Henderson has a rather unlucky record with 2 winners and 9 places over the last 20 years.
  • Venetia Williams (1 place from 22 starts), Paul Nicholls (4 places from 22 starts) & Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 places from 26 starts) are all trainers who have bad records in the race over the past 20 years.
  • Nick Williams (1 winners & 3 places from 4 starts), Kim Bailey (1 winners and 1 place from 2 starts) & Tony Martin (1 winner and 2 places from 5 starts) are all trainers to note when targeting one at this race.

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Jockey Trends

  • Tom Scudamore has had 3 winners of this race since 2008 and has had 4 places overall.
  • Barry Geraghty has won the race twice and had 4 places.
  • Richie McLernon rides the race very well, with 2 winners and 3 places from 7 rides.

How did the trends do last year?

Last year's winner was a strong result for trends. Beware The Bear had won four handicap chases before the race, so was relatively easy to spot on the trends, perhaps it was significant that one had come at Cheltenham, where trends show course form is key.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2020?

Any Second Now is very interesting heading into the 2020 Ultima Handicap Chase. He took part in the right trial in the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown, is the right age, has won at the Cheltenham Festival and ticks a lot of boxes here with his lofty mark not a massive negative in respect to this race.

There is plenty of time to go however, will anyone else come out of the woodwork?

2019 Ultima Handicap Chase Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stBeware The Bear10/1Nicky HendersonJeremiah McGrath
2ndVintage Clouds16/1Sue SmithDanny Cook
3rdLake View Lad25/1N W AlexanderHenry Brooke

Cheltenham Festival 2020 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


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