Ultima Handicap Chase 2022 Trends

As with the majority of Cheltenham Festival races, there are certain trends that can help punters to find the winner. Our horse racing experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have taken a look at the most important pointers from the last 10 years which will help you find the best horse to follow in the 2022 renewal of the Ultima Handicap Chase.

Ultima Handicap Chase 2022 Trends
Ultima Handicap Chase 2022 Trends

The 2022 Cheltenham Festival content is brought to you in association with FansBet!

Your best bet for the festival. Sign up below!


T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. 18+ BeGambleAware.org


2022 Ultima Handicap Chase Trends

Need some help finding the winner of the 2022 edition of the Ultima Handicap Chase? Well, look no further because our team of experts at Bookmakers.co.uk have done the hard work for you by pinpointing the most critical trends and pointers from the last 10 renewals in order to help you find the winner of this Grade 3 chase.

The last 10 winners:

  • Were trained in Britain.
  • Had finished in the first 6 on their last start, with three winning their previous start.
  • Had won no more than four chases, the majority winning one or two.
  • Had tasted victory over at least 3 miles over hurdles or fences.
  • Had scored on a galloping track
  • Had at least four starts in the previous 12 months
  • Had run at Cheltenham before (7 of these winners had run over fences at Prestbury Park).

Nine of the last 10 winners:

  • Had at least five starts over fences - five had 10 or more.
  • Had taken part in at least one handicap chase; only Beware The Bear and Vintage Clouds had won more than one
  • Finished in the first three in one of their last three starts
  • Last ran no more than 59 days ago.
  • Did not carry top weight. Finishing positions of last 10 topweights: 443P3107FP7.

Key Trials from the last 10 years

  • The Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown over Christmas has thrown up one winner (Alfie Sherrin) and two places in the last 10 years. School Boy Hours won this in 2021 from Ben Dundee and Enjoy D'Allen.
  • Beware the Bear used the Ladbrokes Trophy as his trial in 2019. Cloudy Glen beat Fiddlerontherood, Brahma Bull and Ontheropes in this in 2021.
  • Oddly the Cleeve Hurdle has been seen to good effect as a trial for this race. The Cleeve Hurdle has produced a winner and two places in the last 10 years.
  • It's also a positive to have run in the race before or any other handicap chase at Cheltenham.


Trainer Trends

  • The last 15 winners were trained in Britain. Only two winners were trained by trainers based in Ireland in the past 25 renewals. It's not a kind race to the raiding party!
  • With three winners and six places each overall, David Pipe and Jonjo O'Neill have the best record in the race.
  • Nicky Henderson has a rather unlucky record with two winners and nine places over the last 20 years.
  • Venetia Williams (one place from 22 starts), Paul Nicholls (four places from 22 starts) and Nigel Twiston-Davies (two places from 26 starts) are all trainers who have bad records in the race over the past 20 years.
  • Nick Williams (one winners and three places from 4 starts), Kim Bailey (one winners and 2 three places from four starts) and Tony Martin (one winner and two places from five starts) are all trainers to note when targeting one at this race.

T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. 18+ BeGambleAware.org


Jockey Trends

  • Tom Scudamore is more successful than any other jockey in the race in recent times, with three winners since 2008 (all for trainer David Pipe) and four places overall.
  • Richie McLernon rides the race very well, with two winners (both for Jonjo O’Neill) and three places from seven rides.

How did the trends do last year?

Vintage Clouds looked too exposed, having won three handicap chases, and at age 11 became the races oldest winner since Flyer's Nap in 1997. Only two horses aged older than nine had won the race in 20 years, with the majority being less exposed seven to eight year olds.

What he did have though was solid Cheltenham form, having been second and third in this race before. It was actually his fifth attempt at victory.

Third Aye Right was a much better fit on trends having had plenty of handicap experience, but only won novice chase. He's since got his big-race win in the Rehearsal Chase at Newcastle and looks Grand National-bound.



Who Fits The Trends Best In 2022?

This is usually a wide-open affair and ante-post lists indicate that is likely to again be the case in March 2022.

Ladbrokes Trophy winner Cloudy Glen, second at the 2021 Cheltenham Festival in the Kim Muir, remains off an attract handicap rating of 148 and would be a good trends fit if lining up here, with that key Cheltenham form and three chase wins, including two handicaps.

However, trainer Venetia Williams has an unenviable record in the race, so Cheltenham novice handicap chase winner Corach Rambler or New Year's Day Cheltenham winner The Wolf might prove better trends picks.

Full Back, second to The Wolf, is another to watch at this early stage. All the above have wins over 3m or further, which is a key pointer.


Check out latest Cheltenham ante post odds.


2021 Ultima Handicap Chase Result

PositionNamePriceTrainerJockey
1stVintage Clouds28/1Sue SmithRyan Mania
2ndHappygolucky100/30fKim BaileyDavid Bass
3rdAye Right11/2Harriet GrahamRichard Johnson
4thCepage14/1Venetia WilliamsCharlie Deutsch

Cheltenham Festival 2022 Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day One Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Two Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Three Trends

Cheltenham Festival Day Four Trends


T&Cs apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. 18+ BeGambleAware.org