Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds

We’re heading towards the business end of the 2020/21 Premier League season and they are a host of football teams with aspirations to land a top four spot come the end of the campaign. Only Manchester City look virtually guaranteed to qualify for next season’s Champions League, with the other leading teams set for a battle royal over the coming weeks and months.

Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds

Premier League Top Four Odds*

TeamOdds (Click to bet)Bet with
Manchester City1/1000William Hill
Manchester United2/9888 Sport
Liverpool4/9Unibet
Leicester8/13Betfair
Chelsea4/5Paddy Power
Tottenham11/2Paddy Power
West Ham10/1BetVictor
Aston Villa12/1Bet365
Everton13/1Karamba

*Odds correct as of February 17, 2021


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It’s been a Premier League season like no other, with the twenty teams fulfilling their fixtures in front of largely empty stadiums and there haven’t been many sides who have been able to string together a consecutive run of victories to steer them in the right direction up the table.

However, Manchester City have overcome some early season jitters and look set to sail on calm waters towards yet another top flight crown under Pep Guardiola, with several bookmakers no longer offering betting odds about the Citizens in the Premier League Top Four betting market.

The other three spots certainly look up for grabs, even if Manchester United and Leicester City occupy the box seats at the time of writing. The two teams have accumulated forty-six points from twenty-four games played and they are likely to be playing Champions League football should that ratio continue in their final fourteen clashes.

The bookies give the Red Devils a stronger chance of finishing in the top quartet than the Foxes and are perhaps mindful that Brendan Rodgers’ side struggled to last the pace last term, while the Midlands side will also have powerhouses such as Chelsea and Liverpool breathing down their necks.

The former have picked up under Thomas Tuchel and find themselves back in the top four thanks to a succession of victories, although the fixtures will get tougher for the Blues, while Jurgen Klopp has recently risen to the head of the Sack Race betting market after his team hit the buffers in a spectacular fashion.

West Ham also appear to be in contention although you might not know it considering they’re regarded as top four outsiders and they’re trading at a marginally bigger price than Tottenham Hotspur who are slipping down the table rather than climbing it.

Aston Villa, Everton and Arsenal are the other teams given a squeak of getting among the top four spots and, with the season having been highly unpredictable so far, it would be an enormous surprise to see any of this trio going close despite having erratic recent form.

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Manchester United Enjoying Six-Point Cushion Over Liverpool

During the early stages of the 2020/21 season, you could have landed some fancy prices about Manchester United securing a top four finish for the second season running, although the Red Devils embarked on an excellent run at the beginning of November even if they’ve started to splutter in recent weeks.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team are four points ahead of fifth-placed West Ham United, although perhaps a more telling statistic is the fact that they are six clear of Liverpool with fourteen games remaining, with the bookies prepared to go no bigger than 1/4 that the Red Devils are still in those all-important Champions League spots when the curtain is drawn on the campaign.

United’s away form has been an enormous factor in their successful season to date and the performances of Bruno Fernandes will surely catapult them to further victories, although the defence has been known to creak and recent slip-ups against Sheffield United and West Brom suggest that top four isn’t a done deal yet.

Liverpool No Longer Top Four Bankers After Slump

It still feels incredible to write that Liverpool are in grave danger of failing to qualify for next season’s Champions League considering that they were odds-on to win the 2020/21 Premier League title in mid-December following that amazing 7-0 triumph at Selhurst Park, with the Reds running riot and it’s worth remembering that Mo Salah was on the bench in that clash.

However, the wheels have been falling off in the past couple of months, with Brighton and Burnley leaving Anfield with victories before Manchester City did a number on their north-west rivals and it was a horror defensive show at the King Power Stadium as the Merseyside team let a lead slip against Leicester.

Liverpool are now two points off the top four places with a worse goal difference than fourth-placed Chelsea and it’s something of a surprise that the best price about the Reds landing a top four spot is 1/2 when you consider that they are struggling badly in central defence and it has led to Alisson making some uncharacteristic mistakes.

Jurgen Klopp has recently leapt to the head of the Sack Race betting market and although the German has confirmed he’s staying put at Anfield, it remains to be seen whether the supporters will be enjoying Champions League football next season.

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Leicester Could Be Value to Land Top Four Spot

Leicester City might just be the value bet on this market, with Paddy Power currently offering 8/13 about a Foxes team who sit third in the Premier League table after amassing forty-six points from their twenty-four games played thus far. They recently came from behind to beat Liverpool and won’t be risking too many first-team players for upcoming Europa League exertions.

With Jamie Vardy and Wilfried Ndidi back from injury and the duo of James Maddison and Harvey Barnes delivering quality on a game-by-game basis, there’s everything to like about the Midlands team’s chances of getting over the line this time after narrowly missing out last term.

Leicester were available at a more attractive price a few months ago on this market, although it has now become clear that they’re consistently performing at a high level, with Brendan Rodgers continuing to be an effective manager who can steer this team back into the Champions League.

Chelsea Also Odds-On After Tuchel Transformation

We’re not saying that Thomas Tuchel has a magic wand although the former Paris Saint-Germain has wasted little time getting Chelsea FC back on track in the Premier League and the Blues are now in fourth position, with their new manager hoping that they can finish as high as second in the table this season.

We have to accept that the London side have enjoyed a relatively easy run of fixtures recently, although they did win at Tottenham as part of that run and betfair now offer a best price 4/5 that we see Tuchel keep his team in the leading quartet come the end of the season which looks a reasonable price.

After all, the German has inherited a squad brimming with talent and it’s more a case of finding the right blend than actually needing to recruit anyone else. It appears that Tuchel is getting the best from Timo Werner, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Marcos Alonso among others, something that Frank Lampard struggled to do.


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Tottenham Now 11/2 to Play Champions League Football Next Season

Unless Tottenham manage to win the UEFA Europa League this season (and Jose Mourinho will give it a damned good try), it appears as though the north London side will once again miss out on the Champions League and it must be galling for supporters to see former boss Mauricio Pochettino in charge of a Paris Saint-Germain team who recently ripped Barcelona apart.

Spurs began the season pretty well and were actually being discussed as potential title contenders under Mourinho, although there have been too many under-par performances where the London side have tried to sit on a slender lead or alternatively simply failed to approach the game from an attacking point-of-view.

While the counter-attacking game plan worked well in certain matches this season, it hasn’t been recently effective and Tottenham are six points off the top four with a game in hand, with Betfair prepared to chalk up 11/2 that Spurs somehow manage to wriggle into the Champions League spots come the end of the season.

In Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min, Spurs have two obvious match winners although looming trips to West Ham and Arsenal will go a long way in determining the team’s fate this season.


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Are West Ham United Worth a Punt at 10/1?

If there was a Premier League team capable of flying under the radar and nicking a top four spot in what has been an unpredictable season, then that could be West Ham who are quietly going about their business and they’re also a side who are free from European distractions as per usual.

While Liverpool trade at heavy odds-on to still qualify for the Champions League this season, the bottom line is that the Hammers are two points better off having played the same number of games and it’s only goal difference which is currently keeping them out of the top four places.

David Moyes had been roundly criticised as manager at the London Stadium although West Ham have only lost one of their last ten top-flight matches at the time of writing and there’s a settled look about the first team, with Jesse Lingard making an impact after arriving on loan from Manchester United.

BetVictor are prepared to lay West Ham on this market to the extent that you can secure 10/1 about the Hammers qualifying for the Champions League and they are very much in the mix as we enter the business stage of what has been an enthralling season.

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Can Villa or Everton Get Back Into The Mix?

Aston Villa do have games in hand over the teams directly above them and Dean Smith’s side are another team unaffected by European competition, with the Midlands outfit having been utterly transformed from the side that only just stayed in the Premier League last term.

The Villans have shown that they can mix it with any team this season although there does seem an over-reliance on Jack Grealish, while Emi Martinez’s heroics in goal on a game-by-game basis serves to highlight that the opposition generally get plenty of shots on target away.

As for Everton, a recent 2-0 home reverse against Fulham was a worrying indicator of the team’s current physical condition and the injury sustained by Dominic Calvert-Lewin could be a recipe for disaster.

A lack of firepower has plagued the Toffees for some time, even if Carlo Ancelotti is the most popular manager there has been since David Moyes. The Merseyside team are as big as 13/1 for a top four spot and they are unfortunately going in the wrong direction after a bright start to the campaign.

Arsenal Looking to Climb a Mountain and Bank Top Four Spot

The Gunners will have to perform to a very high standard in order to secure a top four spot in the Premier League this season but Mikel Arteta will draw encouragement by the sheer number of teams who could still qualify for the Champions League.

Paddy Power have 22/1 about the north London side reeling in several teams above them and finishing fourth or higher, with the gap currently eight points although there were signs when beating Leeds 4-2 that Arteta now has some real attacking flair among his ranks and that includes the in-form Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.


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