Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds

Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool and Chelsea were all able to secure Premier League top four places at the end of the 2020/21 season, with the same quartet all trading at odds-on to retain their grip on the Champions League qualifying spots when it comes to the 2021/22 campaign. It will be interesting to see whether Leicester City can make it third time lucky after two near-misses, while Tottenham, Arsenal and Everton will also be aiming to break into the top four places.

Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds

Premier League Top Four Odds*

TeamOdds (Click to bet)Bet with
Manchester City1/16bet365
Chelsea1/4bet365
Liverpool3/10Paddy Power
Manchester United1/3Paddy Power
Leicester City9/2bet365
Tottenham Hotspur6/1Paddy Power
Arsenal7/1William Hill
Everton11/1Paddy Power
Leeds United7/1William Hill
West Ham9/2bet365

*Odds correct as of May 20, 2021


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We’re looking ahead to the 2021/22 Premier League season, with the leading contenders all aiming to challenge for the title and, at the very least, secure a top four spot to automatically qualify them for the Champions League the following season. The bookies have priced up this market ahead of the campaign starting and the latest betting odds make for interesting reading.

As you might expect, Manchester City are enormously short to land a spot in the top quartet of places and that’s hardly a surprise considering that they haven’t been out of the Champions League spots since Pep Guardiola took charge, while they have won three of the past four top-flight titles.

Similarly, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United are all trading at odds-on despite the fact that the former two clubs were struggling to get into fourth place or higher at various points of the 2020/21 season and it’s entirely possible that the old order will be broken up, especially if one of the north London club gets their act together.

Tottenham Hotspur are seeking a new manager who can help to return them to the UEFA Champions League, with Mikel Arteta hoping to do the same with Arsenal. Meanwhile, Leicester City have been knocking on the door in the past two seasons and deserve respect when it comes to this betting market.

When it comes to the other potential contenders, Everton might kick on if they manage to secure the right coaching appointment and there is also a case to be made for West Ham who might be able to build on their successful 2019/20 season. Then we have Leeds United and Aston Villa who could break into the pack.

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Manchester City Bankers to Land 2021/22 EPL Spot

Manchester City were untouchable last season and it’s hard to see them out of the Premier League top four next term, with Kevin de Bruyne now on a long-term contract at the Etihad Stadium and the same applies to Phil Foden, Bernardo Silva and Ruben Dias, with the bookies expecting them to be the ones to beat as far as the title is concerned.

Pep Guardiola will be focused on securing his first Champions League crown after narrowly missing out in the final to Chelsea last season although this shouldn’t prevent the Citizens from being major players in the English top flight and that is reflected in the latest betting odds.

Chelsea Regarded as Champions League Material Under Tuchel

Thomas Tuchel has been a raging success since replacing Frank Lampard at Stamford Bridge and it would be a major surprise if Chelsea didn’t kick on from last season which saw them creep back into the top four and also win the 2021 Champions League title.

It’s not as if the German has to go out and recruit players capable of challenging for the Premier League considering the squad is already packed with quality and we might expect Kai Havertz and Timo Werner to kick on from their first season in England and chip in with more goals.

With N’Golo Kante and Jorginho pulling the strings in central midfield and full-backs Reece James and Ben Chilwell shining bright in the Champions League final, the future looks bright for a Chelsea team who could well topple Man City next term and should certainly land a top four spot.

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Can Liverpool Bounce Back From a Tricky Season?

Liverpool claimed the Premier League title at the end of the 2019/20 season, ending a drought of thirty years, although their title defence was a short-lived phenomenon last term and Jurgen Klopp’s side faced a scramble to secure a spot in the top four of the table, something which was only landed on the final day of the campaign.

It will be interesting to see what happens this summer considering that Virgil van Dijk is still on the road to recovery, while Gini Wijnaldum has left the club and there will surely be players recruited in order to freshen things up at the Merseyside outfit.

Even so, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane remain as Liverpool FC players for now, while Diogo Jota is clearly someone who can make a big impact after his first season at the club, while there are quality players in the form of Andy Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Fabinho which means Liverpool are serious top four players.

Manchester United Could Struggle to Land Top Four Spot

It definitely feels like a judgement season for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer who might have delivered second place in the Premier League for Manchester United last term, although his failure to secure silverware was clearly an issue and the performance in the 2021 Europa League final was not convincing, with the Norwegian all at sea.

There doesn’t appear to be much appetite to change things at Old Trafford and, while Manchester United are among the betting favourites to secure an EPL top four finish this season, there’s a suggestion that they might start slowly considering the majority of the squad are involved in a major summer tournament.

Perhaps there will be some impressive recruitment although the Manchester United squad doesn’t seem to have the depth of Chelsea or Manchester City, while their Champions League involvement could ironically have an impact on their hopes of securing a top four spot.


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Can Leicester City Make It Third Time Lucky?

Brendan Rodgers has ensured that Leicester City are now regarded as one of the leading clubs in English football, with the Northern Irishman having landed the FA Cup with the Foxes last season and he came narrowly close to steering them into the top four places of the Premier League.

While many regarded the Foxes as something of a bottle job after letting a top four place slip for the second consecutive season, the bottom line is that Leicester don’t have any right to be knocking on the door against opponents who have much bigger financial clout and perhaps they will challenge for top honours once again.

It will be interesting to see whether the Midlands club can recruit additional players to the squad, with Kelechi Iheanacho having enjoyed a breakthrough season, while Youri Tielemans, Wilfried Ndidi and Wesley Fofana are also key players in front of Kasper Schmeichel who can be regarded as one of the leading keepers.

Managerless Tottenham Looking to Challenge for Top Four

Spurs were top four regulars under Mauricio Pochettino, although the north London club have been a pale imitation of previous versions since then and they weren’t remotely close to securing a Champions League spot under Jose Mourinho, with the Portuguese making way and there’s the inevitable prospect of Harry Kane leaving White Hart Lane.

With no Kane up front, that will leave a big hole in the Tottenham attack and we’re not convinced that they can challenge for a top four spot, with Antonio Conte recently passing up the chance to manage the team on the basis of lack of ambition.

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Arsenal Way Off the Top Four Pace Last Season

Mikel Arteta certainly has a remit to ensure that Arsenal challenge for a top four spot this season and you might think a failure to get close to the Champions League places could result in the Spaniard leaving the Emirates Stadium, with the ambitious north London club having reached the semi-finals of the Europa League last term before losing to Villarreal.

Thomas Partey, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Bukayo Saka and Emil Smith Rowe can all help propel the team forward next season although the bookies regard them as big outsiders to land a top four spot and they ended up in a mid-table position last season, leaving them with a lot of ground to make up.


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Can Leeds, West Ham or Everton Challenge for Top Four Spot?

Leeds United certainly appear to be on the rise under Marcelo Bielsa and their first season back in the Premier League was a huge success, with the Yorkshire club outperforming many other teams who had a bigger budget than themselves. It could be the case that they are top four dark horses this time around.

West Ham United demonstrated an ability to also challenge hard for a top four spot last season and perhaps David Moyes will fancy his chances of securing a Champions League place again next term, especially if Michail Antonio can remain fit.

Everton have been frustratingly inconsistent for a number of seasons and are another top-flight club without a manager. The pulling power that Carlo Ancelotti had means that it could be difficult to recruit the right players for the task this summer.