Premier League Top Four Finish Odds

Manchester United, Tottenham and West Ham could be the teams scrapping it out for fourth place this season. The trio won at the weekend and it's the Red Devils who are odds-on for a top four finish.

Premier League Top Four Finish Odds
Premier League Top Four Finish Odds

Premier League Top Four Odds*

TeamOdds (Click to bet)Bet with
Manchester City1/200Betfred
Liverpool1/50William Hill
Chelsea1/25bet365
Manchester United10/11William Hill
West Ham10/3Betfair
Arsenal4/1bet365
Tottenham4/1Betfair
Leicester40/1William Hill
Brighton75/1Betfair
Aston Villa100/1BetVictor

*Odds correct as of December 6, 2021


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The 2021-22 Premier League season continues to take lots of twists and turns, with Manchester City now topping the table after a 3-1 win at Watford. They have Liverpool breathing down their necks, with Chelsea being knocked off their perch after a 3-2 defeat at West Ham. However, all three teams are big odds-on to land a top four spot this season.

That leaves one Champions League qualifying spot up for grabs. Manchester United are back up to sixth after back to back wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, although Ralf Rangnick's side could still face a battle against several London teams for that elusive place.

West Ham's 3-2 win over Chelsea has shaken up the Premier League top four betting market, while Tottenham are now making progress under Antonio Conte. Arsenal also can't be ruled out at this point in proceedings.

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Manchester City Bankers to Land Champions League Spot

Manchester City were untouchable last season and it’s hard to see them out of the Premier League top four based on early evidence. Pep Guardiola's side have experienced a few bumps in the road, although they are still favourites to win the title this season and it's improbable that they will finish fifth or lower.

Jack Grealish adds an extra level of quality to the team, with Kevin de Bruyne now back from injury and it appears that Gabriel Jesus is enjoying life post-Sergio Aguero. The Brazilian is operating in a wide role, while Bernardo Silva and Phil Foden are other exciting attacking options.

Ruben Dias and Aymeric Laporte are the first-choice central defenders right now and opposition teams are finding it hard to score against the champions who are favourites on the outright market.

Chelsea Regarded as Champions League Material Under Tuchel

Thomas Tuchel has been a raging success since replacing Frank Lampard at Stamford Bridge and it would be a major surprise if Chelsea didn’t kick on from last season which saw them creep back into the top four and also win the 2021 Champions League title.

It’s not as if the German has had to go out and recruit players capable of challenging for the Premier League considering the squad is already packed with quality and we might expect Kai Havertz and Timo Werner to kick on from their first season in England and chip in with more goals. However, new signing Romelu Lukaku is virtually a guaranteed source of goals and full-backs Reece James and Ben Chilwell have full of goals.

With Mateo Kovavic and Jorginho pulling the strings in central midfield and the defence looking really watertight, the future looks bright for a Chelsea team who could well topple Man City this term and should certainly land a top four spot.

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Free-Scoring Liverpool Looking Good

Liverpool claimed the Premier League title at the end of the 2019/20 season, ending a drought of thirty years, although their title defence was a short-lived phenomenon last term and Jurgen Klopp’s side faced a scramble to secure a spot in the top four of the table, something which was only landed on the final day of the campaign.

It looks as though the Reds are already bankers to finish in the top four this season and they look similar to the title winners of two seasons ago. Virgil van Dijk offers a comforting presence in central defence and it was his excellent distribution which led to a late winner at Molineux.

Mohamed Salah should come with a health warning against opposition defenders, with Diogo Jota continuing his meteoric progress since arriving from Wolves. This team look like serious title contenders.

Top Four Finish Minimum Goal For Rangnick

The Red Devils were being talked about as title challengers at the beginning of the season after finishing second behind Manchester City last season. However, they are already eleven points behind the league leaders and were recently humbled 4-1 at Watford which saw Ole Gunnar Solskjaer sacked.

The Red Devils have recently rallied by landing a point at Chelsea before beating Arsenal and Crystal Palace. It might be that they can now embark on a run which sees them get into pole position to secure fourth spot.

The initial signs have been quite positive after progressing to the Champions League knockout stage. Ralf Rangnick is the new manager and maybe it's a good time to be backing the Red Devils at 10/11 considering there is clearly a squad of players good enough to challenge for major honours.


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West Ham Could Be Top Four Contenders

Many thought that West Ham's sixth-placed finish was something of a freak outcome last season, with the London side having punched well above their weight to qualify for European football. However, it looks as though the Hammers are even better this season, especially with Michail Antonio, Jarrod Bowen and Pablo Fornals looking to be in excellent form and there are so many promising signs at the London Stadium.

The bookies have shortened the Hammers' Top Four betting odds, with a best price 10/3 available about David Moyes' team and they have also been excellent in the Europa League along the way. Jarrod Bowen was excellent when the team recently beat Liverpool 3-2 and they recently triumphed against Chelsea by the same scoreline.

Arsenal Bounce Back From a Bumpy Start

Mikel Arteta certainly has a remit to ensure that Arsenal challenge for a top four spot this season and the Gunners are faring well. Having lost their opening three matches of the season, the north London side are proving a lot tougher to beat and a recent win over Newcastle meant that they were joint-fourth in the table until losing at Old Trafford.

Emil Smith Rowe and Bukayo Saka were leading lights last season and have now become first-team regulars as part of an attacking trident. Ben White and Aaron Ramsdale also appear to be astute signings at the back and there's a decent chance that we could see the north London side playing Champions League football next term, even if a 3-2 defeat at Old Trafford was a setback.

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Tottenham's Odds Shorten After Conte Appointment

There has been recent money for Tottenham to secure a top four spot after the north London club replaced Nuno Espírito Santo with Antonio Conte. It is clear that the Italian arrives with a glowing reputation, having previously won the English Premier League title with Chelsea and it could be that he delivers Champions League football to Spurs.

We might expect an immediate upturn in results under Conte who has a favourable set of fixtures on the horizon and the manager will care little for the Europa Conference League considering that his remit is to deliver success at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Much depends on whether Conte can get Harry Kane firing considering the striker only has one top-flight goal to his name this season. After a recent humbling by NS Mura, Conte admitted that there is plenty of work to be done in order to make the team competitive but wins over Brentford and Norwich bode well.


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Can Leicester City Make It Third Time Lucky?

Brendan Rodgers has ensured that Leicester City are now regarded as one of the leading clubs in English football, with the Northern Irishman having landed the FA Cup with the Foxes last season and he came narrowly close to steering them into the top four places of the Premier League.

While many regarded the Foxes as something of a bottle job after letting a top four place slip for the second consecutive season, the bottom line is that Leicester don’t have any right to be knocking on the door against opponents who have much bigger financial clout and perhaps they will challenge for top honours once again.

It's been a mixed start for Leicester although we saw the Midlands side bounce back to winning ways when recently beating Watford 4-2. Rodgers will hope that this can kickstart a strong run of form during the festive season although there are still doubts over a defence which hasn't kept a clean sheet since the opening game of the season.

Everton Not Looking Good Under Rafa

Everton were originally among the leading contenders to challenge for a top four spot this season, with Rafael Benitez's side having racked up fourteen points from their opening eight games although they now appear to be missing the goals that were being scored by Dominic Calvert-Lewin.

Benitez hasn't had a lot of money to spend and the squad is now looking threadbare after defeats against Watford, Wolves and Brentford. The natives are starting to turn on a manager who has the obvious Liverpool connection which the fans didn't like from the start.