Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds

The 2020/21 Premier League season has now kicked off, with all twenty teams in the English top flight having played at least one match and the league table is already starting to take shape. The clubs have not had a great deal of time to prepare for the latest campaign and we’ve already seen unpredictable outcomes on the pitch, most notably when Crystal Palace won at Old Trafford.

Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds


Latest Premier League Top Four Odds (As of 10.15am 22/09/2020)

TeamOdds (Click to bet)Bet with
Manchester City1/33BetVictor
Chelsea4/9William Hill
Manchester Utd11/10888Sport
Leicester City6/1BoyleSports
Leeds/td>25/1William Hill
Crystal Palace80/1BoyleSports

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One thing’s for sure, the Premier League top four betting market looks set to be an intriguing heat this season, with as many as nine teams trading at single figure odds to be among that top quartet and get that huge reward of playing Champions League football the following season. Things certainly don’t seem as cut and dried as they did before a ball was kicked.

While last season’s EPL top two look virtual certainties to be dining at the top table of European club football for years to come, there are no other bankers at this stage and Chelsea at heavy odds-on could be vulnerable if they don’t manage to achieve a decent blend after spending a king’s ransom on new players.

Manchester United suddenly seem less convincing too despite their post-lockdown run which saw them qualify for the current season’s Champions League competition, with north London pair Arsenal and Tottenham forming an orderly queue and it’s clear that each manager’s remit is to secure a top four place this season.

In this article, we look at all the viable runners and riders who could potentially ask the question when it comes to landing a Premier League top four spot and we can’t rule out a big outsider coming in due to the nature of the current campaign and how competitive the division has now become.

Liverpool and Man City Bankers in Top Four Betting Market

Liverpool (1/25) might have found life difficult in their opening Premier League match against Leeds United, although the Reds still got the job done against newly-promoted opponents and they then served up a typically professional performance to land the spoils at Stamford Bridge in their next match. On the early evidence, they’ll be a shoo-in for top two, let alone top four.

The acquisition of Thiago Alcantara has been widely-acclaimed and it’s clear that the Spaniard is going to bring a dynamism to the midfield department, while the interplay between Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane remains as crisp and dangerous as ever before. The way in which they dominated the ball against Chelsea suggests that there’s still a gulf between the top two and the others in the division.

Similarly, Manchester City made short work of Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux. Pep Guardiola had to contend without his best central defender in Aymeric Laporte and also the fact that Ilkay Gundogan was in quarantine, although the Citizens blew Wolves out of the water in the first half of the game.

Kevin de Bruyne and Raheem Sterling returned like they had never been away and the emergence of Phil Foden means that the departure of Leroy Sane and David Silva won’t appear to be particularly significant, with Gabriel Jesus getting the chance to shine in the attacking role due to Sergio Aguero’s ongoing absence.

Chelsea Struggling to Gel Under Lampard

Two games played, two unconvincing performances served up by a Chelsea team who were somewhat flattered by a 3-1 victory at Brighton before losing 2-0 at home to Liverpool. Frank Lampard has been given the keys to Roman Abramovich’s war chest over the past few months, with Timo Werner, Hakim Ziyech, Kai Havertz, Ben Chilwell and Thiago Silva all arriving for either big money and / or a massive salary.

While Lampard will be given time to find the right blend at Stamford Bridge, there’s a definite lack of cohesion at the time of writing, with Timo Werner currently feeding off scraps and Havertz having looked virtually anonymous in the opening matches. Indeed, Chelsea showed a distinct lack of ambition in their recent clash against Liverpool and that was before they were reduced to ten men.

The Blues were defensively porous for much of the 2019/20 campaign although it does appear that Edouard Mendy will be arriving at the club to replace the hapless Kepa Arrizabalaga, a change that can’t come quickly now that the Spaniard has become a liability for a club for whom a top four berth in the Premier League is the bare minimum when it comes to targets for the season.

The bookies are still impressed enough by the Chelsea squad to offer 4/9 about them qualifying for the Champions League yet again, although the early evidence suggests that they’re still nowhere near the level at which the leading duo of English clubs now operate and it’s questionable as to whether Lampard is the man to lead them to the promised land.

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Manchester United Drift to Odds-Against For Top Four

While Manchester City seemed to benefit from a week’s delay before getting their 2020/21 season under way, Manchester United appeared to be caught cold in their opener, with Crystal Palace arriving at Old Trafford and carving out numerous scoring opportunities before eventually leaving with a 3-1 scoreline that was richly deserved.

The Red Devils were seriously impressive after lockdown last season, with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side reeling in Leicester City to land a top-four spot and the acquisition of Bruno Fernandes was clearly a catalyst when it came to improving form which had been decidedly sketchy during the first part of the season. However, the team looked ordinary against the Eagles.

There appears to be a problem with the United defence, most notably the centre-halves where Victor Lindelof seems to struggle against the more accomplished attacking players. There have even been questions raised over whether Harry Maguire has the quality to become a long-term success at the north-west club, while Paul Pogba continues to be frustrating when it comes to the basics.

The bookies are certainly unconvinced by a Red Devils side who are under pressure to deliver although some might like the 11/10 about them landing a top four spot and regard the price drift as a kneejerk reaction to one bad result. Mason Greenwood will surely come back into the team and it appears that room will also be found for new signing Donny van de Beek in midfield.

Can Arsenal Break Back Into the Top Four Under Arteta?

It has now been four seasons since Arsenal last finished in the Premier League top four, with Arsene Wenger actually steering the Gunners to second during the 2015/16 season which was famously won by Leicester City, although it was at that stage where the Frenchman could no longer deliver a finishing position that he used to describe as “like winning a trophy” due to the riches of the Champions League.

The supporters are expectant that Mikel Arteta can restore previous glories and the early signs of the Spaniard’s reign have been largely encouraging, with Arsenal winning last season’s FA Cup due to some virtuoso performances against the leading teams in England, while they have opened the 2020/21 campaign with victories over Fulham and West Ham.

Arteta has persuaded Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to sign on the dotted line and Arsenal have been cut from 3/1 into 7/4 after a strong start to the campaign, although the north London side huffed and puffed their way through the recent clash against the Hammers. It appears that they could have problems breaking down stubborn defences this term.

The signing of Gabriel Magalhaes from Lille should lend the Gunners defence a steelier resolve and we’re excited to see the impact that Kieran Tierney and Hector Bellerin could potentially have in the wide positions, although Arteta is still somewhat reliant on young players making the grade and that includes the likes of Eddie Nketiah, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Bukayo Saka and Reiss Nelson.

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Tottenham Blowing Hot and Cold Under Mourinho

Things can change quickly in football and that was in evidence during Tottenham’s recent clash at St Mary’s. Having lost their opening Premier League clash of the season against Everton, Spurs trailed 1-0 to Southampton as the match approached half-time, although a goal from Son Heung-Min before the interval changed everything and the north London side ran riot to win 5-2 come the final whistle.

Perhaps Jose Mourinho will look back on that match as a turning point of his time at White Hart Lane, with the decorated manager seeing Son and Harry Kane make short work of the Southampton defence, while the Portuguese has also sent the Amazon documentary crew packing and is now trying to put his imprint on the latest squad.

The bookies certainly respect the chances of Tottenham enough to offer betting odds of 3/1 about Spurs qualifying for next season’s Champions League, with Mourinho having persuaded Gareth Bale to return to the club on loan and the prospect of the Welshman flying at opposition defences alongside Kane and Son is a mouth-watering one.

However, one can’t escape the image of Mourinho’s men labouring badly when trailing 1-0 at home to Everton in their opening match, while they were second-best against the Saints in the first half of the next match and a goal splurge does not hide the fact that Spurs might lack the requisite quality to get into the top quartet of places this season.

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Leicester Could Be Value For Top Four Spot at 6/1

While the Foxes suffered a serious downturn in form towards the end of the 2019-20 Premier League season, the bottom line is that Brendan Rodgers’ side were only four points off the Champions League places and the main reason why they failed to land a top-four spot was down to the resurgence of Manchester United rather than any great failings on their part.

Leicester amassed sixty-two points in the top flight last season and look capable of achieving a similar total this time around, with the Midlands side opening their campaign with a 3-0 victory at West Brom before defeating Burnley by a 4-2 scoreline. The vibrant football of last season has continued and Harvey Barnes has looked particularly impressive.

While Ben Chilwell has signed for Chelsea, Timothy Castagne looks to be a solid acquisition from Atalanta and let’s not forget that Leicester have last season’s top scorer in Jamie Vardy worrying defences on a regular basis, with the centre forward plundering two goals at The Hawthorns and always posing a lively threat.

Perhaps 6/1 is too big about a City team who were top of the Premier League table after the first couple of matches although Rodgers does have to juggle domestic duties with a European tour even if going deep in the Europa League might not be the biggest priority for a club who can recently remember their Champions League adventure.

Everton Starting to Look the Real Deal Under Ancelotti

Carlo Ancelotti is probably the best calibre manager that Everton have ever had, with the Italian surprising many by agreeing to take charge at a Merseyside club who have been firmly in the shadow of rivals Liverpool for several years, although perhaps things are about to change. The Toffees have enjoyed back-to-back EPL wins over Tottenham and West Brom to give supporters some much-needed optimism.

The bookies now have the Blues at 6/1 to land a top-four finish this season and these betting odds suggest that a push for the Champions League places is starting to be realistic. Ancelotti has revamped the midfield department by recruiting James Rodriguez, Abdoulaye Doucoure and Allan, with the trio seamlessly slotting into a winning team.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is now starting to realise his excellent potential alongside the tricky Richarlison, while the Everton defence seems robust enough and there’s particularly plenty to like about the roving full-backs Seamus Coleman and Lucas Digne who are among the best in the division. However, the bottom line is that Everton could only finish twelfth last season.

Realistically, this season’s target is a top-six berth and that means fourth or better would be an enormous bonus for a club who have spent the past few years in the doldrums, with Marco Silva and Sam Allardyce unable to deliver for the club after Ronald Koeman’s time at the club turned sour. However, Ancelotti certainly provides cause for optimism.

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Can Wolves Improve on Last Season’s Seventh Place?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have wasted little time in becoming a Premier League top half team after stunning everyone by landing sixth spot during their first season back in the English top flight, while they finished seventh last term while going relatively deep in the Europa League and it’s clear that Nuno Espirito Santo has done an excellent job at Molineux.

Wolves don’t have European football on the agenda this season and will be able to focus on domestic matters as a result, although it’s a slight concern that Matt Doherty and Diogo Jota have been allowed to leave the club, indicating that the Midlands side aren’t quite at the same level as some of the leading sides in England when it comes to pulling power.

While Raul Jimenez is arguably the best centre forward in the division, Doherty’s absence in the roving wing-back role might be keenly-felt, even if the performances of Daniel Podence have looked particularly bright thus far, with Wolves beginning the season with a 2-0 win at Sheffield United before losing 3-1 at home to Manchester City.

Wanderers are 15/2 to land a top-four finish and there are now a decent string of clubs ahead of them in the Premier League pecking order which will make things difficult when it comes to improving on last season’s seventh spot. One wonders how effective they can be from an attacking point-of-view if Jimenez suddenly becomes injured.

Could Leeds and Crystal Palace Be Lively Outsiders?

After their first two matches involved a 4-3 scoreline, it appears likely that Leeds United are going to provide lots of entertainment in their games this season, while it also seems widely acknowledged that Marcelo Bielsa is a football genius who seems to improve every player with whom he works. The Chilean engineered an impressive attacking display at Anfield before seeing his team beat Fulham in their next game.

Leeds are 25/1 to roll back the years and finish ahead of some illustrious rivals to secure a top-four place, with Kalvin Phillips, Jack Harrison and Mateusz Klich quickly adapting to life in the Premier League, although the early evidence suggests that there are defensive issues in the team and all concerned would be merely delighted with a top-half finish.

Crystal Palace were more likely to be mentioned in the same breath as relegation than the Champions League before a ball was kicked, although the Eagles have enjoyed successive wins over Southampton and Manchester United to give their supporters optimism that it’s going to be a successful season under Roy Hodgson despite the lack of transfer activity.

Palace are 33/1 to crash into the top four spots and they’ve succeeded in keeping Wilfried Zaha at Selhurst Park for another season, although let’s not forget how poorly they finished the previous Premier League campaign and it could be that they end up nestling somewhere in mid-table.

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Southampton and Brighton Trading as 66/1 Outsiders

Southampton’s form after the lockdown suggested that they could be a team on the rise under Ralph Hasenhuttl this season, although the Austrian has seen his team suffer early defeats against Crystal Palace and Tottenham Hotspur. The second-half capitulation in the Spurs match will have been especially galling considering the Saints amassed thirty-one points in the second half of last season.

The bookies have lengthened Southampton’s top four odds to 66/1 although the form of Danny Ings and Che Adams at least suggests that scoring goals shouldn’t be too much of an issue this season, although the failure to replace Pierre-Emil Hojbjerg could come back to haunt an attack-minded team who can be left exposed.

Meanwhile, Brighton & Hove Albion have served up two bright displays of football and are also 66/1 to land a top-four spot. They were undeserving losers against Chelsea in their opener and then got their rewards when winning 3-0 at St James’ Park, with the performances of right-back Tariq Lamptey especially eye-catching.

Graham Potter’s side were unconvincing last season and flirted with relegation although the Seagulls could be set to vastly improve on last term’s fifteenth spot, even if it’s highly unlikely that they will make up eleven places and secure a berth in next season’s Champions League.

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